After Rafael Nadal’s (abdominal tear) withdrawal from his semifinal matchup against Nick Krygios, the 2022 Men’s Wimbledon bracket is down to the final three (Novak Djokovic, Cameron Norrie, Krygios). As things currently stand, the reigning three-time champ Djokovic is the overwhelming favorite to defend his title and win his seventh overall Wimbledon championship.
Cameron Norrie notched his first-ever appearance in a Grand Slam semifinal with a come-from-behind win over David Goffin (3-6, 7-5, 2-6, 6-3, 7-5) in the quarters. Can the Brit upset the Joker en route to his first Grand Slam championship appearance?
Below, we’ll break down the Djokovic-Norrie match and provide a couple of best bets if the markets present an opportunity to make a wager.
Novak Djokovic vs. Cameron Norrie Odds
All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Moneyline odds
- Novak Djokovic -1600 (implied probability 94.12 percent)
- Cameron Norrie +800 (implied probability 11.11 percent)
Set spread
- Novak Djokovic -2.5 (-160)
- Cameron Norrie +2.5 (+120)
Best Bet: Cameron Norrie +2.5 sets (+120)
As the current moneyline suggests, the Joker has a 94.12-percent implied probability of advancing to his fourth straight Wimbledon championship. It’s highly unlikely Norrie ends the Jokers' reign of dominance on grass, but there’s a chance he gets this match to four-plus sets.
Djokovic showed some vulnerability in his quarterfinal matchup against Jannik Sinner, (5-7, 2-6, 6-2, 6-2, 6-2), dropping the first two sets before ultimately finding his groove. Norrie will have all of Centre Court behind him and is certainly capable of taking a set from the current world No. 3 player.
Welcome to the semi-finals, @cam_norrie! 🇬🇧
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 5, 2022
The Brit is into the final four of a Grand Slam for the first time, beating David Goffin 3-6, 7-5, 2-6, 6-3, 7-5#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/fPM33dGOB9
Back Norrie to take at least one set from Djokovic.
Best Bet: Cameron Norrie OVER 12.5 total games won (-110)
Coinciding with Norrie taking at least one set, a bet on the OVER 12.5 total games won by the Brit is another way to approach betting this match. He’ll need to win at least six games (potentially seven) to take one set, leaving Norrie with a total of seven games to win scattering over most likely three other sets.
Additionally, Djokovic could very well start slow as he did in his quarterfinal match, making Novak’s win from behind prop at +600 another way to get some action down on this semifinal.
