Who will win the Premier League title? Predictions, odds, picks for 2024 race between Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal

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The 2023/24 Premier League title race promises to treat fans with the best finish to an English top flight campaign in recent memory as the league enters the home stretch with three clubs neck-and-neck at the top.

Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester City all remain firmly within the hunt, residing within a three-point margin at the top of the table.

After the scoreless draw against Man City and Arsenal which brought March to a close, the three contenders no longer have any games left against one another, meaning a champion will be crowned over the final nine games left in the season against other opposition.

As the teams jockey for position, The Sporting News brings you an updated and detailed look at who has the best shot to finish on top, and who could fall flat as the season winds to a close.

USA: Get the latest odds and bet the 2024 Premier League title winner at DraftKings

Odds to win the Premier League title in 2024

Following Liverpool's disappointing draw with Manchester United in early April, the title race couldn't possibly be closer. Arsenal have the lead over the Reds currently on goal differential, while Manchester City sit a point back in third, but the betting market feels Pep Guardiola's side will find a way to overcome the deficit.

With just seven matches remaining in the Premier League season, all three clubs sport plus odds, meaning no team is expected to run away with the title.

To make matters more interesting, all three clubs are still alive in European play, with Arsenal and Man City competing in the Champions League quarterfinals while Liverpool are amongst the quarterfinalists in the Europa League, meaning all three managers will have to find ways to rest key players while also keeping the levels high with the margins so razor-thin.

Standings current as of full-time in results on Sunday, April 7. Odds current as of Monday, April 8.

Pos Team MP Pts W-L-D GD Title Odds
(DraftKings)
1. Arsenal 31 71 22-5-4 +51 +175
2. Liverpool 31 71 21-8-2 +42 +225
3. Man City 31 70 21-7-3 +40 +150
 

Remaining fixtures for Man City, Arsenal, and Liverpool

The 2023/24 Premier League title race will be decided in matches against other opponents, as the three clubs in the hunt with nine games to go no longer sport any fixtures against one another remaining on the calendar.

Common opponents for all three clubs amongst the final nine games include Aston Villa and Tottenham, both contenders for Champions League places, while defensively adept Wolves have matches against all three title challengers down the stretch. Man United, Fulham, Luton Town, Everton, and Crystal Palace are just some of the clubs on the list for two of the three, while Arsenal also have a game against Chelsea amidst their run-in.

Below are the fixtures for each club from Matchweek 31 on, plus any remaining postponed fixtures, now that all three clubs have no more remaining matches against one another on the schedule.

Of note, all three clubs had Matchweek 29 fixtures postponed due to conflicts with the FA Cup quarterfinals. Additionally, Man City have seen their Matchweek 34 fixture against Tottenham postponed due to their progression to the semifinals of the FA Cup, while both Arsenal and Liverpool were eliminated and therefore can contest their league fixtures at that time.

Final 9 matches for three Premier League title contenders

Week Man City Arsenal Liverpool
Matchweek 31 W 4-1 vs. Aston Villa W 2-0 vs. Luton Town W 3-1 vs. Sheffield Utd
Matchweek 32 W 4-2 at Crystal Palace W 3-0 at Brighton D 2-2 vs. Man United
Matchweek 33 vs. Luton Town vs. Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace
Matchweek 34 at Tottenham** at Wolves at Fulham
Matchweek 29 at Brighton* vs. Chelsea* at Everton*
Matchweek 35 at Nottingham Forest at Tottenham at West Ham
Matchweek 36 vs. Wolves vs. Bournemouth vs. Tottenham
Matchweek 37 at Fulham at Man United at Aston Villa
Matchweek 38 vs. West Ham vs. Everton vs. Wolves

* Match rescheduled from earlier in season due to conflict with the FA Cup quarterfinals.
** Match postponed due to conflict with another competition, with no date currently scheduled.

Who will win the 2024 Premier League title? Predictions, picks

Initially published with nine matches to go in the Premier League campaign, this section will display both an initial prediction of who will win the title, as well as an updated pick as the end of the season draws closer. Those looking to place futures wagers can see how the course of the title race has progressed and where it sits currently.

Premier League title prediction — April 8, 2024 (7 matches remaining)

  • Title prediction: Arsenal
  • Odds: +175 (DraftKings)

Liverpool's slip has allowed Arsenal and Man City to gain ground, not only in the table but also on the odds. If you were here last week, we told you Arsenal looked the likeliest to lift the trophy in the end despite the longest odds, and that rings true here, although at slightly less value.

Of the three remaining contenders, Arsenal are in the most consistent form and boast the fittest overall squad. They lack a true goal scoring striker, which has cost them on various occasions as Gabriel Jesus struggles to finish chances, but they have the creative talent to make up for it, and they seem to have risen above the mental frailties which cost them in recent years. Even without exceptional finishing, Arsenal have still scored more goals since the start of February than any other Premier League club, with 27 goals, seven more than second-placed Man City.

Additionally, Arsenal have conceded a measly three league goals in that same span, four fewer than any other club. Oh, and the Gunners hold the goal differential advantage as well, by a good six over Liverpool and 11 better than Man City — in a race this tight, that very well could come into play.

Meanwhile, Man City's attack has subsided as Erling Haaland continues to slump (by his standards), while defenders and midfielders succumb to injury. Liverpool have played with fire at the end of matches all season long, finally burning them against Manchester United, and at what point will their own injury problems become too much for even managerial hero Jurgen Klopp?

Running log of Premier League title predictions

Date Matches
Left
Pick Odds
(DraftKings)
Mon, Apr. 2 9 Arsenal +225
Mon, Apr. 8 7 Arsenal +175
Author(s)
Kyle Bonn Photo

Kyle Bonn, is a Syracuse University broadcast journalism graduate with over a decade of experience covering soccer globally. Kyle specializes in soccer tactics and betting, with a degree in data analytics. Kyle also does TV broadcasts for Wake Forest soccer, and has had previous stops with NBC Soccer and IMG College. When not covering the game, he has long enjoyed loyalty to the New York Giants, Yankees, and Fulham. Kyle enjoys playing racquetball and video games when not watching or covering sports.