The 2023/24 Premier League title race promises to treat fans with the best finish to an English top flight campaign in recent memory as the league enters the home stretch with three clubs in contention at the top.
Arsenal and Manchester City all remain firmly within the hunt, residing within a one-point margin at the top of the table. Underpinning how close the race is, Arsenal hold the top spot but do not control their own destiny, as Man City have played one fewer game and therefore have a higher maximum possible points.
Liverpool have fallen back in the chase, as the Reds drew with West Ham and lost to both Crystal Palace and Everton down the stretch, meaning their chances of keeping pace have bottomed out. They sit five points behind Arsenal with just three matches to go in the season, an almost surely insurmountable gap.
As the teams jockey for position, The Sporting News brings you an updated and detailed look at who has the best shot to finish on top, and who could fall flat as the season winds to a close.
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Odds to win the Premier League title in 2024
Following damaging defeats for both Arsenal and Liverpool in recent weeks, Manchester City are in control of the Premier League title race. Arsenal fell to Aston Villa while Liverpool slumped to defeats against Crystal Palace and Everton, with both sides failing to find the back of the net in their losses.
Arsenal's win over Tottenham was a potentially significant one, as it saw them move onto 80 points from 35 games and four points clear at the top of the table, but it is the defending champions who control their own destiny as they have a game in hand after their win at Nottingham Forest saw them move back to within a point of the top.
MORE: Who will win the Premier League Golden Boot? Top scorer race just as exciting as title chase
All three title contenders crashed out of Europe at the same time, with Man City and Arsenal both beaten in the Champions League quarterfinals while Liverpool were dumped from the Europa League at the same stage. Normally, one side being able to focus on just league play could be seen as a slight advantage, but with all three clubs no longer battling on that front, none have balancing a heavy fixture list down the stretch hanging over their heads.
Standings current as of full-time results on Sunday, April 28. Odds current as of Monday, April 29.
| Pos | Team | MP | Pts | W-D-L | GD | Title Odds (BetMGM) |
| 1. | Arsenal | 35 | 80 | 25-5-5 | +57 | +200 |
| 2. | Man City | 34 | 79 | 24-7-3 | +50 | -275 |
| 3. | Liverpool | 35 | 75 | 22-9-4 | +41 | +10,000 |
Remaining fixtures for Man City, Arsenal, and Liverpool
The 2023/24 Premier League title race will be decided in matches against other opponents, as the three clubs in the hunt with no longer sport any fixtures against one another remaining on the calendar.
Common opponents for all three clubs amongst the final stretch of games are Tottenham, who are contenders for Champions League places, while defensively adept Wolves have matches against Liverpool and Man City down the stretch.
Below are the remaining nine fixtures for each club, which will be updated as results are known.
Of note, all three clubs had Matchweek 29 fixtures postponed due to conflicts with the FA Cup quarterfinals. Additionally, Man City have seen their Matchweek 34 fixture against Tottenham postponed due to their progression to the semifinals of the FA Cup, and as a result will hold a game in hand until that match is played just before the final game of the season.
Final 9 matches for three Premier League title contenders
| Week | Man City | Arsenal | Liverpool |
| Matchweek 31 | W 4-1 vs. Aston Villa | W 2-0 vs. Luton Town | W 3-1 vs. Sheffield Utd |
| Matchweek 32 | W 4-2 at Crystal Palace | W 3-0 at Brighton | D 2-2 vs. Man United |
| Matchweek 33 | W 5-1 vs. Luton Town | L 2-0 vs. Aston Villa | L 1-0 vs. Crystal Palace |
| Matchweek 34 | — | W 2-0 at Wolves | W 3-1 at Fulham |
| Matchweek 29 | W 4-0 at Brighton* | W 5-0 vs. Chelsea* | L 2-0 at Everton* |
| Matchweek 35 | W 2-0 at Nott'm Forest | W 3-2 at Tottenham* | D 2-2 at West Ham |
| Matchweek 36 | vs. Wolves | vs. Bournemouth | vs. Tottenham |
| Matchweek 37 | at Fulham | at Man United | at Aston Villa |
| Matchweek 34 | at Tottenham** | — | — |
| Matchweek 38 | vs. West Ham | vs. Everton | vs. Wolves |
* Match rescheduled from earlier in season due to conflict with the FA Cup quarterfinals.
** Match rescheduled from earlier in season due to conflict with the FA Cup semifinals
Who will win the 2024 Premier League title? Predictions, picks
Initially published with nine matches to go in the Premier League campaign, this section will display both an initial prediction of who will win the title, as well as an updated pick as the end of the season draws closer. Those looking to place futures wagers can see how the course of the title race has progressed and where it sits currently.
Premier League title prediction — April 22, 2024 (5 matches remaining)
- Title prediction: Man City
- Odds: -200 (BetMGM)
For those of us hoping for a change in Premier League supremacy — oof. Big, big oof. Both Liverpool and Arsenal cracked on the same weekend, and with it their buffer between Man City and a record fourth straight Premier League title.
Sure, the lead is just two points, and there's plenty of time for Pep Guardiola's side to also fall short, but recent history has crafted a sudden inevitability around this title chase. Man City have a strong history of closing out the season on top, even as those behind them nip at their heels.
Last season felt over even before Man City officially took the lead, and now that they're in front, it will take an uncharacteristic failure for them to fall short. Arsenal's season-long defensive masterclass broke apart against Unai Emery and Aston Villa, while Liverpool's barnburning attack came up short against Crystal Palace. Meanwhile, Man City keep rolling along even as Erling Haaland suffers through a goal scoring slump, as their squad is just simply deeper and more forgiving than any other in Europe.
This title race felt like the most exciting in years just one week ago — and now, it suddenly and abruptly feels over. Arsenal and Liverpool cannot drop any more points the rest of the way, and Man City will need to slip themselves, something they haven't done in years.
Running log of Premier League title predictions
| Date | Matches Left |
Pick | Odds (BetMGM) |
| Mon, Apr. 2 | 9 | Arsenal | +225 |
| Mon, Apr. 8 | 7 | Arsenal | +175 |
| Mon, Apr. 15 | 6 | Man City | -250 |
| Mon, Apr. 22 | 5 | Man City | -200 |
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