Explaining Premier League clinching scenarios for Manchester City, Liverpool

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Explaining Premier League clinching scenarios for Manchester City, Liverpool image

The final day of the 2018-19 Premier League is fast approaching, and we aren't any closer to knowing who the champions will be until full-time on Sunday.

This season has overseen one of the most exhilarating title challenges in the history of the Premier League, with Manchester City and Liverpool fighting neck-and-neck against one another for the majority of the campaign.

A 20-point gap separates the two league leaders between third-placed Tottenham in what has been a two-horse race for the title, albeit a thrilling one all the same.

Neither side has dropped points in the league in two months, and just one points separates the pair following City's penultimate victory of the season against Leicester – with returned them to the top of the table.

So what do City or Liverpool need to do to ensure they are crowned Premier League champions this season? Goal takes a look.

Liverpool have scored their highest-ever points total in a single Premier League campaign, but that might not even be enough to win them their first title in almost 30 years should City win both of their remaining games.

Jurgen Klopp's side have registered just one defeat all season compared to City's four – but they lost crucially to the Sky Blues in January, and that single defeat might end up costing them the league title.

Pep Guardiola Manchester City 2018-19

The Reds registered a nail-biting last-minute victory at Newcastle on Saturday, knowing that any dropped points would end their chase for the title. With the score at 2-2 approaching the final minutes of regular time, however, Divock Origi scored in the 86th minute to give Liverpool a glimmer of hope as the final test of the season looms.

Pep Guardiola's side know that they will finish the campaign with their own fate in their hands. Having won their extra game against against Leicester, final day victory against Brighton will ensure that Man City will win the league over Liverpool.

Even if both Liverpool and City win their final games, Guardiola's team will clinch the league by a singular, crucial point (98 points total).

The only way Liverpool will be able to win the league is if City slip up against Brighton. The Merseysiders also must win their final game against Wolves if they want to keep their title hopes alive until the very last possible minute of the season, and hope that City drop points in their final game. 

A win against Wolves will be tough in itself, however, as Nuno Santo's team have been impressive in their first season back in the top flight, sitting seventh in the league and registering victories over Arsenal, Tottenham and Chelsea.

If City draw against Brighton, and Liverpool win their final match against Wolves, then Klopp's side will be crowned champions (Liverpool on 97 points and City on 96). But the Reds will only hope for City to drop points and ensure that they win their own game if they want to win tihe title.

Should both Liverpool and City lose their games, then the Premier League title will be City's (Liverpool with 94 points and City with 95).

If Liverpool draw against Wolves and City lose against Brighton, the title will be awarded based on which side has the superior goal difference as the first tie-breaking factor, followed by which side has scored the most goals.

In the rare event that the two teams are still tied having scored the same number of points, possessing the same goal difference and the same number of goals scored, then a play-off fixture held at a neutral venue will decide the championship.

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