Two of UEFA's three lowest-ranked sides clash in an intriguing matchup between Gibraltar and San Marino where victory comes with boosted hopes of promotion to Nations League C.
San Marino, the lowest-ranked team in the world at No. 210, picked up their first win in program history a month ago, topping Lichtenstein 1-0 on a goal by Nicko Sensoli. They could take firm control of Group 1 with another program-boosting win here, having lost once and won once against Gibraltar previously.
Los Llanis, meanwhile, rank 198th in the world thanks to a three-match unbeaten streak where they've drawn with Wales and Lichtenstein plus a victory over Andorra.
These three points are valuable knowing that promotion to League C of the Nations League would present the opportunity for the successful group winner to match up against better nations, providing an opportunity for future growth.
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Gibraltar vs. San Marino prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Gibraltar (-140)
- Score prediction: Gibraltar 1-0 San Marino
San Marino are still building the foundations of their program, and while they achieved an historic victory just last month, they have a long way to go.
The same can largely be said for Gibraltar, but recent results show that their approach is a bit more sustainable, especially their scoreless draw against Wales. One goal should be enough to win this.
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| BetMGM (USA) | |
| Gibraltar win | -140 |
| Draw | +230 |
| San Marino win | +475 |
| Both teams to score | Y: +175 N: -250 |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | O: -160 U: +115 |
| Gibraltar -0.5 goals | -155 |
| San Marino +0.5 goals | +110 |
Gibraltar vs. San Marino match facts
- Date: Thursday, October 10, 2024
- Kickoff Time: 8:45 p.m. local (2:45 p.m. ET / 11:45 a.m. PT)
- Location: Europa Point Stadium (Europa Point, Gibraltar)
- Referee: Felix Zwayer (GER)
- Last meeting: San Marino 0-0 Gibraltar (Nov. 4, 2020 | UEFA Nations League)
Gibraltar vs. San Marino best bet
- Pick: Under 1.5 goals
- Odds: +115 (BetMGM)
Gibraltar are capable of playing an open game if needed, as evident by the 2-2 draw with Lichtenstein, but that's not required against a minnow like San Marino. Their opponents will defend in bunches as they always do, and one goal should win this in either direction.
The betting market has skewed heavily towards the under, but don't shy away from skewing even further. These two sides have played 180 minutes against one another and scored just one total goal, so feel free to take the under here with the knowledge that both sides are capable defensive units but are still figuring out how to produce consistently threatening attacks.
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