Arsenal are a point behind Manchester City with three matches of the Gunners' campaign left to play in the 2022/23 Premier League season – but their biggest rivals have a game in hand.
The Gunners slumped to three straight draws before capitulating in a big way to Man City in their head-to-head matchup on April 26, falling 4-1 and seeing City take firm control of the title race. They have since bounced back - including an impressive 2-0 win at third-placed Newcastle on May 7 - but the damage seems to be already done.
Mikel Arteta's side had the chance to open up a seven-point lead at one point but reigning champions City are considered by many as favourites to win the title again.
The Sporting News brings you a full look at the most recent Premier League title odds as the Gunners hope to secure their first top-flight crown since The Invincibles back in 2004.
MORE: How many times have Arsenal been English champions?
Arsenal odds to win Premier League 2022/23
The Gunners might be top of the league for now, but they are not the favourites to win the Premier League.
City have the shortest odds to win a third-straight title, with the result between the teams as well as City's extra game a major factor in the calculations.
Odds as of Sunday, May 7, 2023.
| Club | USA (BetMGM) |
India (Dafabet) |
UK (Sky Bet) |
Australia (Neds) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | -1600 | TBD | 1/14 | 1.06 |
| Arsenal | +800 | TBD | 7/1 | 9.00 |
Arsenal Premier League fixtures schedule 2023
Manchester City have that game in hand thanks to their run to the FA Cup final, which has seen them play fewer Premier League games and had the effect of skewing the table and odds a little during recent weeks.
According to ESPN's FiveThirtyEight, Manchester City have an 87% probability of winning the title, falling slightly after Arsenal successfully navigated their tricky trip to Tyneside.
Outside of their head-to-head matchup, Manchester City's league run-in includes Brighton & Hove Albion (away), Everton (away), Chelsea (home), and Brentford (away).
Arsenal remaining schedule 2022/23
| Matchday | Date | Match | Result | Arsenal Table Position |
Points Gap |
Title Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Tue, Jan. 3 | vs. Newcastle | D / 0-0 | 1st | 8 | 49% |
| 19 | Sun, Jan. 15 | at Tottenham | W / 2-0 | 1st | 8 | 57% |
| 20 | Sun, Jan. 22 | vs Man United | W / 3-2 | 1st | 5 | 63% |
| 21 | Sat, Feb. 4 | at Everton | L / 1-0 | 1st | 5 | 58% |
| 22 | Sat, Feb. 11 | vs Brentford | D / 1-1 | 1st | 3 | 47% |
| 23 | Wed, Feb. 15 | vs Man City | L / 3-1 | 2nd | 0 | 34% |
| 24 | Sat, Feb. 18 | at Aston Villa | W / 2-4 | 1st | 2 | 50% |
| 25 | Sat, Feb. 25 | at Leicester | W / 1-0 | 1st | 2 | 52% |
| 7 | Wed, Mar. 1 | vs Everton | W / 4-0 | 1st | 5 | 57% |
| 26 | Sat, Mar. 4 | vs Bournemouth | W / 3-2 | 1st | 5 | 54% |
| 27 | Sat, Mar. 11 | at Fulham | W / 3-0 | 1st | 5 | 59% |
| 28 | Sat, Mar. 18 | vs C. Palace | W / 4-1 | 1st | 8 | 56% |
| 29 | Sat, Apr. 1 | vs Leeds | W / 4-1 | 1st | 8 | 51% |
| 30 | Sat, Apr. 8 | at Liverpool | D / 2-2 | 1st | 6 | 41% |
| 31 | Sun, Apr. 16 | at West Ham | D / 2-2 | 1st | 4 | 34% |
| 32 | Fri, Apr. 21 | vs Southampton | D / 3-3 | 1st | 5 | 25% |
| 33 | Wed, Apr. 26 | at Man City | L / 4-1 | 1st | 2 | 10% |
| 34 | Tues, May 2 | vs Chelsea | W / 3-1 | 1st | 2 | 11% |
| 35 | Sun, May 7 | at Newcastle | W / 2-0 | 2nd | 1 | 13% |
| 36 | Sun, May 14 | vs Brighton | ||||
| 37 | Sat, May 20 | at Nott'm Forest | ||||
| 38 | Sun, May 28 | vs Wolves |
Last time Arsenal won Premier League
It's been nearly 20 years since Arsenal supporters have seen their club finish the season at the top of the English top-flight.
"The Invincibles" — the only team in Premier League history to finish an entire campaign with an unblemished league record — claimed the Gunners' last English league title in 2003/04.
That Arsenal side, led by manager Arsene Wenger, finished 11 points ahead of second-place Chelsea thanks to 26 victories and 12 draws in the 38-match Premier League season.
The attacking star of that side was club legend Thierry Henry, who won the league's Golden Boot as top scorer with 30 goals, which were eight better than runner-up Alan Shearer.
The squad also included German 'keeper Jens Lehmann, midfield marshal Patrick Vieira, creators Robert Pires and Freddie Ljungberg, Brazilian national team fixture Gilberto Silva, and defenders Sol Campbell, Ashley Cole, and Kolo Toure.
How many times Arsenal won Premier League
Since the English top division was relaunched as the Premier League in 1992/93 there have been 30 seasons played and Arsenal have emerged as champions on just three occasions: 1997/98, 2001/02, and 2003/04.
But before the Premier League, Arsenal had tasted championship success in 10 seasons, with first one coming back in 1930/31. Five of the Gunners' 10 titles prior to the launch of the Premier League came during the 1930s.
Remarkably, Arsenal won two of its titles on a tiebreaker. They bested Preston North End in 1952/53 on goal average (goals scored per game), which was used before the advent of goal difference.
Then in 1988/89 they famously edged out Liverpool for the title on the final day of the season on a late Michael Thomas goal that put Arsenal level on goal difference with Liverpool and allowed them to win the title on the second tiebreaker (total goals scored).
Arsenal league titles (13)
| Season | Arsenal Points |
Runner-up (Points) |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003/04 | 90 | Chelsea (79) | +11 |
| 2001/02 | 87 | Liverpool (80) | +7 |
| 1997/98 | 78 | Man United (77) | +1 |
| 1990/91 | 83 | Liverpool (76) | +7 |
| 1988/89 | 76 | Liverpool (76) | —** |
| 1970/71 | 65 | Leeds United (64) | +1 |
| 1952/53 | 54 | Preston (54) | —* |
| 1947/48 | 59 | Man United (52) | +7 |
| 1937/38 | 52 | Wolverhampton (51) | +1 |
| 1934/35 | 58 | Sunderland (54) | +4 |
| 1933/34 | 59 | Huddersfield (56) | +3 |
| 1932/33 | 58 | Aston Villa (54) | +4 |
| 1930/31 | 66 | Aston Villa (59) | +7 |
* Won title on goal average (1.52 vs. 1.42)
** Won title on goals scored (73 vs. 65)
