Argentina vs. Peru prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Copa America 2024

Brad Cox

Argentina vs. Peru prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Copa America 2024 image

A much-changed Argentina side will play their third and final group-stage game of 2024 Copa America, with the holders up against Peru on Saturday.

Lionel Messi's men are currently undefeated and have won both of their opening games against Canada and Chile

They remain the outright favorites to win the whole thing, with final to be held at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on July 14. 

BET NOW: Latest odds for Copa America and best bets on Argentina vs. Peru with BetMGM

An injury to Lionel Messi means that he will not play against Peru, and there are likely to be a raft of other changes as well, as coach Lionel Scaloni looks to shuffle his pack and rest key players with qualification already secured.

How will that affect their performance, and the likely betting options? The Sporting News provides the latest odds and best picks ahead of the game. 

MORE: 2024 Copa America standings, schedule, fixtures and results

Argentina vs. Peru prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Argentina (-200)
  • Score prediction: Argentina 2-0 Peru

Argentina have been strong defensively and are yet to concede a goal, however, they haven't exactly been blowing teams away. They required a spirited second-half performance in the opener vs. Canada in Atlanta before needing a late winner from Lautaro Martinez vs. Chile. They are big favorites to win this one again, and should get the job done even with a host of changes in personnel.

 BetMGM
(USA)
Argentina win-200
Draw+320
Peru win+575
Both teams
to score
Y: +120
N: -165
Over / Under
2.5 goals
O: +100
U: -135
Argentina
-1.5 goals
-140
Peru
+1.5 goals
+1700

Argentina vs. Peru match facts

  • Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024
  • Kickoff time: 8 p.m. local (8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT)
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami, Florida)
  • Referee: Cesar Arturo Ramos (MEX)
  • Last meeting: Peru 0-2 Argentina (October. 17, 2023 | World Cup qualifying)

Argentina vs. Peru best bet

  • Pick: Argentina to score over 1.5 goals
  • Odds: -140 (BetMGM)

Even without Messi, Argentina are the strong favorites in this match and they'll be expected to cruise to victory and win three from three group-stage matches. They're not a team that blows others out of the water, so the over on 2.5 goals would be a risk, however, 1.5 appears more manageable. 

Argentina vs. Peru prop bet

  • Pick: Julian Alvarez anytime goalscorer
  • Odds: +150 (BetMGM)

Again, with Messi out, Alvarez can play more centrally in his preferred position and after scoring the opening goal of the tournament he's a good bet to be on the scoresheet again. The World Cup in 2022 saw Alvarez score four goals in seven appearances, and he will be expected to get a run going here as La Albiceleste head into the knockout stages.

  • Pick: Clean sheet for Argentina
  • Odds: +115 (FanDuel)

The defense is arguably Argentina's biggest part of their game at this tournament, as they've looked solid as a rock. They are yet to concede a goal and with Peru also yet to score one, this seems a safe bet.

Argentina vs. Chile live stream, TV channel

 TV channelStreaming
USAFS1, TUDN, UnivisionFubo USA, Fox Sports GO, TUDN app/website, Univision NOW, ViX
CanadaTSN+, RDS app
UKPremier Sports 1Premier Sports Player
India — —

Argentina's clash vs. Peru will be televised in the United States on FS1, which can be streamed on Fubo who are offering a free trial for new users. Other Copa 2024 matches will be televised on FOX, which is also available to stream on Fubo.

Brad Cox

Brad Cox Photo

Brad is a content producer for The Sporting News and has previously worked for the likes of Squawka and The Athletic. His career highlight to date is reporting from the 2022 UEFA Champions League Final in Paris.