St. Mary's at Gonzaga
10 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Line: Gonzaga -6.5 Total: 135
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Trends: St. Mary's 20-4 SU, 13-9 ATS, 7-14-1 O/U. Gonzaga 21-6 SU, 10-15-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U.
KenPom efficiency ratings: St. Mary's 47 (overall), 27 (offense), 100 (defense). Gonzaga 31, 35, 51
Effective FG percentage: St. Mary's 59.2, Gonzaga 55.4 EFG% against: St. Mary's 46.3, Gonzaga 44.2
Pick: Gonzaga has dominated this matchup over the last few years, going 8-2 ATS and straight-up. St. Mary's did get the best of the Zags last month in a 70-67 win as 5-point favorites. The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two.
St. Mary's has cooled off in a big way since starting the season 12-0 ATS. The Gaels are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 6-9 ATS overall in conference play. Gonzaga is 6-6 ATS in conference after a poor start against the number.
However, with 85 percent of bets on the OVER — given St. Mary's shooting ability — we'll stick with what's worked between these two teams and play the UNDER.
MORE: College hoops live scoreboard | St. Mary's-Gonzaga