With college football's bowl season in full effect, AccuScore has been helping bettors make the most informed picks.
Here is some info to consider ahead of Tuesday's Music City Bowl featuring Notre Dame and LSU (3 p.m. ET, ESPN):
What to Watch: Notre Dame's lack of defensive depth will hurt the Irish in this matchup against LSU. Notre Dame may be able to keep it close for a period of time, but LSU should be able to control the clock in the second half. Notre Dame's passing game -- which will be led by sophomore Malik Zaire, who gets the nod over Everett Golson -- will need to have an impressive performance to beat the Tigers.
Vegas vs. AccuScore: The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lists LSU as a -330 favorite on the money-line, odds that imply over a 76 percent chance of winning the game outright. While AccuScore doesn't pick a different winner, it does have more faith in the Irish.
After simulating the game 10,000 times, AccuScore gives LSU a 57.4 percent chance to win, which translates to money-line odds closer to -135. With a 42.6 percent chance to win, according to AccuScore, Notre Dame is worth a shot at the +270 odds offered at the Westgate.
Wagering on the point spread and total also present potential values for bettors.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 29-26. There is nearly a 60 percent chance ND covers the 8-point spread as underdogs. There is a 52 percent chance the total goes OVER 51.5 (available at CG Technology). Both are 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trends.
The total has gone OVER in six of Notre Dame's last seven games.
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