AccuScore NBA pick - Warriors look for sixth straight win over Kings

Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore.com

AccuScore NBA pick - Warriors look for sixth straight win over Kings image

The I-80 rivalry gets going again Monday night as the Warriors host the Kings. Having won their last five matchups against Sacramento, Golden State will look to get out front early and maintain the lead. 

AccuScore has the Warriors as solid 82.9 percent favorites to win, a number that would warrant a -484 money-line price. Not only is that too risky to lay, but it's not even a value as Vegas books are offering the Warriors at -1000 on the money-line.

The spread and total are worth considering though. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 108-97. There is nearly a 55 percent chance Sacramento covers a +12 spread. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last six games on the road.

AccuScore Best Bet: There is a 56.5 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 210, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The total has gone UNDER in six of Golden State's last seven games at home.

Keep an Eye Out: The Warriors averaged four more made three-pointers in simulations than the Kings and attempted about 6-7 more shots from beyond the arc. 

Projected Leaders
DeMarcus Cousins: 18 points, 11 rebound, 2 assists, 1 block, 1 steal, 3 TOs 
Stephen Curry: 21 points, 8 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals, 3 TOs

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Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore.com