AccuScore’s NBA pick of the day – Spurs at Pacers

Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore

AccuScore’s NBA pick of the day – Spurs at Pacers image

Despite owning a late three-point lead in Sunday's game against Toronto, the Spurs gave up the last eight points of the game to lose 87-82.  With a win Monday at the Pacers, coach Gregg Popovich becomes the third-fastest and ninth coach overall to reach 1,000 wins.

Line: Spurs -4.5, Total 192.5 (check The Linemakers on Sporting News’ odds page for current NBA point spreads and totals).

The average score after 10,000-plus simulations performed by AccuScore is Spurs 96, Pacers 89. There's about a 63 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 192.5, a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

In such trends over the past week, AccuScore is 27-20 on NBA totals (57.4 percent, +500 units).  Also, the total has stayed UNDER in four of the Spurs' last five games on the road.

AccuScore best bet: There's a 57.3 percent chance the Spurs cover a -4.5 spread, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

In the past week, AccuScore is 30-18 (62.5 percent, +1020 units) in picking NBA games against the spread.

Projected Leaders
Kawhi Leonard: 13 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 1 TO
George Hill: 12 points, 3 assists, 3 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 TO

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Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore