The Raptors will look to avoid their sixth loss in seven games as they host the 76ers on Wednesday night. With DeMar DeRozan listed as a game-time decision, the Raptors just might get the spark they've been looking for.
Even though AccuScore has the Raptors as overwhelming 91.8 percent favorites (a number worthy of a -1120 money-line price) to win, we're going to avoid the money-line because there won't be a value worth consideration in this matchup.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 107-90. There's a 50.5 percent chance Philly covers a +16 spread, and while that number is large, the 50.5 percent probability doesn't lend itself to a strong option for bettors. Furthermore, neither team has excelled against the spread of late. Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last six games on the road, while Toronto has struggled ATS as well, going 1-5 in its last six overall.
AccuScore Best Bet: There's nearly a 59 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 201.5, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The total has gone UNDER in each of Philadelphia's last five games.
The most obvious difference between the two sides' simulated box scores is the rebounding. Toronto averages about 10 more boards than Philadelphia, a huge discrepancy, especially in simulations. It just shows which team will control the game.
Projected Leaders
Tony Wroten: 14 points, 4 assists, 2 rebounds, 1 steal, 3 TO
Kyle Lowry: 19 points, 8 assists, 6 rebounds, 2 steals, 3 TO
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