MLB picks of the day - AccuScore finds value in a few small favorites

Tomi Rantanen for AccuScore

MLB picks of the day - AccuScore finds value in a few small favorites image

AccuScore’s predictions are based on 10,000-plus simulations performed by the company’s computer.  Throughout the baseball season, AccuScore will be stacking up its projections against Las Vegas odds and recommending wagers when value presents itself.

Check The Linemakers on Sporting News' odds page for current baseball lines from Las Vegas.

Washington Nationals -108 (@ Milwaukee Brewers)
Mike Fiers vs Jordan Zimmerman

The Nationals blew a 5-0 lead at Milwaukee last night, and a bad loss like that should ignite a good team.  We're expecting the Nats to bring it tonight. Better pitching and clutch players should turn the game towards the Nationals. The Nationals win 58.8 percent of games simulated by AccuScore, which would mean playable odds at -142. There's good value at -108 for a better team hungry for revenge.

Supporting trends: The Nationals are 7-4 as road underdogs and 7-5 when Zimmerman starts....The Brewers are 1-12 as home underdogs and 10-20 at home.

Detroit Tigers -111 (vs Cleveland Indians)
David Price vs Danny Salazar

The pitching battle of the night, some would say. Danny Salazar has been a revelation for the Indians and delivered some outstanding results. David Price has been the backbone of Detroit's sometimes shaky rotation. When the pitching is top notch, the winner typically needs remarkable threats at bat, and Detroit has a big edge here. The Tigers might have not been as good as expected, but the best is likely yet to come. Detroit boasts better overall quality all over the field. AccuScore simulations give the Tigers a hefty 63.3 percent chance to win, and we'd play anything better than -172. Excellent value in a game that is lopsided in every other aspect but starting pitchers.

Supporting trend: Detroit is 5-1 vs Cleveland

The Linemakers' picks: Jays at Sox and the Grand Salami

AccuScore’s season-to-date record on LM: 44-49 (-5.63 units)

Visit AccuScore.com for more MLB picks

Win a seat at the SuperContest: Register for Satellite Series

Tomi Rantanen for AccuScore