MLB picks of the day - A pair of Wednesday plays from AccuScore

Tomi Rantanen for AccuScore

MLB picks of the day - A pair of Wednesday plays from AccuScore image

AccuScore’s predictions are based on 10,000-plus simulations performed by the company’s computer.  Throughout the baseball season, AccuScore will be stacking up its projections against Las Vegas odds and recommending wagers when value presents itself. -

Check The Linemakers on Sporting News' odds page for current baseball lines from Las Vegas.

Toronto Blue Jays -115 (vs Chicago White Sox)
Marco Estrada vs Jeff Samardzija

The teams combined for 27 hits last night in a game won by the Jays 10-9. The pitching wasn’t great for either of the team’s starters or relievers. Pitching is definitely a question mark for both teams, something to think about when heading to the third game of the series.

Based on AccuScore simulations, we expect the Blue Jays to pick the third one as well. Toronto is a solid 61.6 percent favorite, which would put the odds at -160. At -115, there is great value for a team that has already proven to be better in two previous games of this series, even if not playing at its best. A lot is resting on the shoulders of these pitchers, but we expect the home team to come up top once again.

San Francisco Giants +107 (@ Milwaukee Brewers)
Mike Fiers vs Ryan Vogelsong

The reigning World Champions are slowly getting their act together and roster healthy, which spells trouble for any opposition. The Giants have taken the first two games of the series without giving the Brewers much of a chance. Nothing flashy, but good enough for a win.

Tonight the pitching battle favors the Giants: with Vogelsong starting, the Giants are 5-2; the Brewers are 3-6 behind Fiers. In AccuScore simulations, the Giants are 56.5 percent favorites to win, opposite to the view of oddsmakers, who have the Brewers as the favorites. Odds of +107 offer great value for a remarkably better team on a good upwards trend.

Giants are 13-11 on the road, 9-7 as road underdogs and 2-0 vs the Brewers...The Brewers are 8-17 at Home, 12-18 vs. an opponent with a winning record and 1-9 as Home favorites.

AccuScore’s season-to-date record on LM: 35-39 (-4.23 units)

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Tomi Rantanen for AccuScore