Heading into Thursday's matchup, the Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing at home against the Bucks. That trend will be put to the test as the Bucks – one of this season's early surprises – look to stay above .500.
Milwaukee is a 4-point favorite with a total of 205. Check the Linemakers on Sporting News’ odds page for current NBA spreads and totals.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is Bucks 101.3 – Magic 99.6
While Milwaukee does have a higher probability at a big win (10 points or more), the Magic actually have a higher chance at winning a close game (4 points or fewer).
AccuScore best bet: There's about a 57 percent chance Orlando covers a +4 spread, a 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
In the past week, when picking against the spread for NBA games, AccuScore is 27-21 (56.2 percent, +390 units). In Eastern Conference games, AccuScore is 8-4 (66.7 percent, +360 Units) in the last week.
AccuScore box score: Milwaukee averages about four more turnovers than does Orlando in simulations. While much of the box score is fairly comparable, Milwaukee does turn the ball over a bit more, giving Orlando steals that can potentially turn into easy transition buckets.
Projected leaders
Brandon Knight: 18 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 steal, 3 TOs
Nikola Vucevic: 17 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 TOs
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