Manchester City look to put their Champions League journey aside for a moment and return focus on the Premier League title race as they host relegation-threatened Luton Town at the Etihad on Saturday.
Searching for an unprecedented fourth English top-flight crown, Pep Guardiola's side sits a point back of both Arsenal and Liverpool in one of the most thrilling finishes to a season in recent memory.
With both other title contenders playing their league match on Sunday, City can take the lead at least temporarily with a win, putting pressure on the others to achieve results. Yet dropped points could prove devastating with only seven games to go in the league season, knowing they already sit at a slight disadvantage.
Luton Town, meanwhile, are in a fight for their Premier League lives at the bottom of the table, in the relegation zone only on goal differential as they chase Nottingham Forest and Everton just above. A stunning upset here of any kind would be a massive boost, on the heels of a critical win over Bournemouth last time out that put the Hatters on the precipice of safety.
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Man City vs Luton Town prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Luton Town double chance (+575)
- Score prediction: Man City 1-1 Luton Town
Mark it down, take a picture: both the title and relegation races take a massive swing in one result at the Etihad on Saturday. Manchester City have been far from their best for a while now, and will be vulnerable to a pesky Hatters side that have come so close on multiple occasions to securing big results against the Premier League's top clubs.
The Citizens needed a pair of absolute wonder goals to secure a draw at Real Madrid, without an ill Kevin De Bruyne who has struggled to be fit and available all year. An injury to Kyle Walker is exceedingly problematic, even as fill-in Josko Gvardiol cropped up with a sensational goal at the Bernabeu.
Luton, meanwhile, played both Arsenal and Tottenham extremely tight in recent weeks, both on the road, before overwhelming Bournemouth in a deserving home win. Selecting a particular result can be difficult, and if you want a moneyline option it's probably best to stick with a draw given Man City's ability to fight back. But the best option seems to be Luton Town double chance, which presents enormous value against a vulnerable Manchester City team barely able to stay afloat in multiple competitions.
| BetMGM (USA) |
|
| Man City win | -1000 |
| Draw | +950 |
| Luton Town win | +2200 |
| Both teams to score |
Y: +110 N: -155 |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals |
O: -150 U: +110 |
| Man City -2.5 goals |
-135 |
| Luton Town +2.5 goals |
-110 |
Man City vs Luton Town match facts
- Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
- Kickoff time: 3 p.m. local (10 a.m. ET / 7 a.m. PT)
- Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester, England)
- Referee: John Brooks, VAR: Chris Kavanagh
- Last meeting: Luton Town 2-6 Man City (Feb. 27, 2024 | FA Cup)
Man City vs Luton Town best bet
- Pick: Both teams to score — YES
- Odds: +105 (BetMGM)
At plus odds, backing Luton Town to get a goal against Man City feels like a valuable selection. The Hatters don't need a ton of opportunities to find the back of the net, as they have started to prove ruthless in front of goal in recent months, sparking their turnaround at the bottom of the Premier League table.
While Luton's shot on target rate of 31% sits last in the EPL, if you look at just matches in 2024, they have proven far more efficient, with a 35% mark good enough for 13th in the league, a marketable improvement. Over the last four games (win vs Bournemouth, close defeats at Spurs and Arsenal, draw vs Nottingham Forest), they've put 17 of 41 shots on frame, a very effective 41.5% rate.
Additionally, Luton are finishing exceptionally well, with a +3.04 xGOT/xG differential, which is second-best in the league through matches in 2024. With Man City sporting defensive injuries and looking increasingly vulnerable at the back, there will absolutely be chances for Luton to find the net, even if they ultimately end up overwhelmed by City's otherworldly attacking unit.
Man City vs Luton Town prop bet
- Pick: Luton Town +2.5 goal handicap
- Odds: -110 (BetMGM)
Ok fine, you're not comfortable taking Luton Town to win, or even grab a result against one of Europe's most powerful clubs — then maybe this selection is for you.
Backing Luton to keep it close against City is a very reasonable expectation at nearly even-money odds. Sure, the Hatters were blown out in the FA Cup meeting back in late February, but they managed to keep this game close in the reverse league fixture in early December, and they have been beaten by more than two goals just three times in league play all year long — a 4-1 defeat at Liverpool a week prior in which they succumbed to the Reds' second-half magic, plus two early-season defeats from way back in August.
Otherwise, they've played multiple close games against the Premier League's best, including one-goal defeats to Spurs, Man United, Man City, Chelsea and Arsenal. There's no reason the Hatters can't put in a quality shift against this City side, even if they fall short of securing points in the end.
Man City vs Luton Town live stream, TV channel
| TV channel | Streaming | |
| USA | — | Peacock |
| Canada | — | Fubo Canada |
| UK | — | — |
This Saturday 3 p.m. local kickoff will be streamed in the United States exclusively on Peacock, as NBC Sports instead will televise the Nottingham Forest vs Wolves match on USA Network, given its relegation implications.
In Canada, the match can be found streaming exclusively on Fubo, the home of every single game throughout the 2023/24 Premier League season.
In the UK, the match will not be televised as part of the blackout for games in the Saturday 3 p.m. local kickoff window.
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