As a professional betting analyst, I get asked all the time: "What's the most bang for your buck if you're only looking to wager a small amount of money per day?"
Especially leading up to big events, like Super Bowl 58 between the Chiefs and 49ers this Sunday, lots of new bettors want low-risk stakes with potentially high-reward payouts.
Without hesitation, I direct them to SuperDraft's Progressive Jackpot Contest.
SuperDraft has been around for a while, and savvy bettors are quickly making it a daily go-to option to try and increase their bankroll. It's not a sportsbook, so it doesn't list moneylines, spreads, or odds. But it's also not just a daily fantasy site. SuperDraft offers DFS, fantasy player props, and more — but one of the coolest things about SD is the Jackpot.
There aren't many sites or apps that let you turn $10 into over $22,000 with 12 correct picks. Progressive Jackpot does, and it even rewards non-winning entrants when someone goes 12-for-12!
Let's dive deeper into SuperDraft's iconic Progressive Jackpot Contest ahead of Super Bowl 58 between the Chiefs and 49ers.
SuperDraft and the Progressive Jackpot Contest
It's never been easier and more worth your while to become a SuperDraft user. Right now, new users who make a first-time deposit of at least $20 will enjoy an instant playable bonus of $20 to their accounts. It's a no-sweat first bet or even better, free entry to your first two Jackpots.
Here's why Progressive Jackpot has become so popular: it's easy, fun, and lets you win a ton of money without putting a lot on the line. Entering SuperDraft's Super Bowl Jackpot also enters you into a raffle to win Taylor Swift tickets!
Idk about you... but we're feeling $22K
— SuperDraft Daily Fantasy (@superdraftdfs) February 6, 2024
Win $22,000 and Taylor Swift tickets by entering the jackpot Sunday 🎤💰🏈
T-Swift tickets will be raffled on Monday, Feb 12, with each jackpot entry serving as one raffle entry - that means you don't have to win the jackpot to win the… pic.twitter.com/u4Wg0ibfUR
Pretty cool. huh? Now let's talk about how you play once you enter.
Every Jackpot contest features 12 over/under player props for a specific day, night, or game. When making a new Jackpot entry, users must make selections on each of the 12 props listed before the first game involved begins.
Users will also need to make an over/under pick for a "reserve" prop, which comes into play if any of the other 12 props are voided for any reason (late scratch due to injury, postponed game, etc). If a live line is considered a scratch, that particular pick gets scratched from users' entries and the reserve pick will fill in its place.
Once an entry gets submitted, all 12 props lock, meaning you can't edit your picks after you enter. From there, you just sit back, relax, cross your fingers, and hope to hit on 100 percent of your picks.
SuperDraft Progressive Jackpot Contest: How to win
The coolest part of the SuperDraft Progressive Jackpot is the prize structure, which is unlike any DFS or fantasy prop contest out there.
If you go 12-for-12, you win 75 percent of the jackpot. If you tie with someone else, 75 percent of the jackpot gets split evenly amongst the winners. Not too shabby, considering we've seen the pot hovering between $22,000 and $23,000 as of late.
But that's only part of the fun. What makes the Progressive Jackpot truly unique is that when one person hits the jackpot, everyone in the contest wins.
When a user or users go 12-for-12, twenty percent of the jackpot will be split evenly amongst the rest of the field from that contest's entered users. Five percent of the jackpot will remain as a reserve for the start of the next contest.
But that's not all — Progressive Jackpot Props contest entrants also get automatically entered in a random drawing for a $5 ticket the following day. Twenty random winners get drawn daily, meaning 20 entrants will get their five bucks back so they can enter again at no extra cost!
SuperDraft Progressive Jackpot Contest: Super Bowl props
Now that you know how to play and we got you all signed up, let's check out the 12 over/under projections for Super Bowl 58, and recommend which way we're leaning on each of the 12!
Patrick Mahomes over/under 26.5 rushing yards
This might be the easiest of the dozen props. Mahomes has gone UNDER 26.5 rushing yards in 18 of the 19 Chiefs games he has played this season, and we don't think he will suddenly look to beat a tough 49ers defense with his legs. If Kansas City runs the ball, it will do so with stud running back Isiah Pacheco to open up the field for the pass.
Betting advice: UNDER
Brock Purdy over/under 31.5 pass attempts
This one's easy, as well. As this game projects to be pretty close, the 49ers favored by two points at the time of this writing, we like Purdy to attempt a bunch of passes. He accumulated 70 passes through San Francisco's first two playoff games this season, and he tossed 32 passes when the Niners faced their toughest regular-season competition against the Ravens. Smash the OVER.
Betting advice: OVER
Christian McCaffrey over/under 92.5 rushing yards
Here's where things start to get tricky. CMC led the NFL in total rushing yards, all-purpose yards, and TDs this season, but the Chiefs only allowed running backs to average 86.9 rushing yards per game this season. He's coming off rushing yard totals of 90 (vs. Lions) and 98 (vs. Packers), but the Kansas City surrendered ground yardage totals of 20 and 61 to the past two RB1s the defending champs faced (Gus Edwards and James Cook). Ultimately, we have to go UNDER here, as CMC averaged below this amount on the season and the Chiefs' D is pretty good. We think he will be heavily involved in the passing game, which could be an x-factor in the turnout of this game. We hate going against the best back in the game, but we also hate going OVER on a 92.5-yard prop.
Betting advice: UNDER (with a gulp)
Brandon Aiyuk over/under 63.5 receiving yards
We expect Aiyuk to largely draw L'Jarius Sneed in coverage, which will be no bueno for San Francisco. Sneed has allowed just a 51.9 percent catch rate this season (top 20 in the NFL), and he also finished third in forced incompletions (17) and ninth in pass breakups (10). Aiyuk has been markedly worse against man coverage (63.6% catch rate) than he fares against zone coverage (70.6% catch rate), so we like Steve Spagnuolo's defense to keep Aiyuk from catching fire.
Betting advice: UNDER
Deebo Samuel over/under 79.5 rushing + receiving yards
You probably expect us to pound the OVER here after fading Aiyuk in the previous prop, but this is just far too many scrimmage yards for our liking. CMC and George Kittle are the x-factors we expect to ball out in this one, so we're shying away from the Swiss Army knife receiver. He's explosive, sure, but Kansas City allowed just 4.8 yards per play and hovered around the top of the NFL in terms of fewest explosive plays allowed this season.
Betting advice: UNDER
George Kittle over/under 48.5 receiving yards
Here's our guy! In two career games against Kansas City, Kittle has racked up 177 yards (88.5 YPG). He has also averaged 73.2 yards per game in primetime contests. He probably won't come anywhere near either of those numbers in this contest, but we expect him to at least breeze past 50 with relative ease. Kittle is a good security blanket for Purdy when Chris Jones and company are barreling down on him, and the stud tight end always can break off chunk yardage after the catch.
Betting advice: OVER
Harrison Butker over/under 7.5 kicking points
Butker has bested this total in three of Kansas City's past five games, and he has averaged a whopping 10.8 points per game over those five weeks. We'll go OVER as we have the Chiefs scoring 27 points (three TDs + extra points, two field goals).
Betting advice: OVER
Jake Moody over/under 7 kicking points
We're going UNDER here, as we expect the Niners to be playing from behind. That could translate to Kyle Shanahan going for first downs as opposed to kicking on fourth down, and it could also mean San Francisco goes for two-point conversions instead of extra points in certain spots. Kicking projections are incredibly hard to predict, though, so kudos to SuperDraft!
Betting advice: UNDER
Rashee Rice over/under 67.5 receiving yards
The explosive rookie is one of our dark-horse candidates to go off in this one, as we love his ability to explode off the line in the screen game or on short slants. Rice is a YAC-monster, and this is the perfect opportunity for him to introduce himself to the masses on sport's biggest stage. He has averaged 82.3 receiving yards per game over the Chiefs' past nine games, so smash the OVER here.
Betting advice: OVER
Travis Kelce over/under 73.5 receiving yards
This number feels way too high, considering San Francisco only surrendered 48.6 yards per game to tight ends all season. We like Kelce to haul in a bunch of catches and find the end zone, but we can't possibly back him to reach 74 yards one game after he burned Baltimore for 11 catches on 11 targets and 116 yards. The Niners will throw everything but the kitchen sink at this dude to contain him and make Kansas City's unreliable wideouts beat them.
Betting advice: UNDER
Marquez Valdes-Scantling over/under 21.5 yards
Mahomes is always good for at least one deep bomb, and few wideouts have faster downhill speed than Valdes-Scantling when he accelerates.
Betting advice: OVER
Isiah Pacheco over/under 69.5 rushing yards
The best one might be the last one, as yours truly has been calling Pacheco the Chiefs' x-factor all season. He runs hard, smart, and fast, and he should be able to capitalize on a Niners defense that has looked low-key bad against opposing ground games during the home stretch of the regular season and into the postseason. Go eat, IP!
Betting advice: OVER
Reserve pick: Jauan Jennings over/under 15.5 receiving yards
*in the event of a player being scratched before the event begins
Let's get weird! Just like with MVS and the Chiefs' top skill-position players, there's always a possibility Jennings busts loose on a play in which CMC, Kittle, Aiyuk, and Samuel all get bottled up. And wouldn't it be just like Shanahan to draw up a deep bomb to the Niners' most unsuspecting wideout? Bet the OVER and pray to the lord it doesn't end up our last leg needed to win a five-figure payout.
Betting advice: OVER (nervously)
