Aaron Rodgers and the 6-1 Packers go into Kansas City red-hot for the Week 8 "Sunday Night Football" matchup against the 5-2 Chiefs (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC). Unfortunately, with Patrick Mahomes out with an knee injury, it will be Matt Moore trying to outduel Rodgers instead.
Rodgers is coming off a combined 6-touchdown game, while Moore played well in relief of Mahomes. But everyone knows the quarterback matchup has gone from even to tipping heavily into Green Bay's favor.
Here's everything to know about betting on Packers vs. Chiefs in Week 8, including updated odds, trends and our expert's prediction for "Sunday Night Football."
MORE: Get the latest NFL odds & betting advice at Sportsbook Review
Betting odds for 'Sunday Night Football'
- Spread: Packers by 5
- Point total: 47.5
- Odds: Packers -105, Chiefs +105
The Packers opened as favorites following their big home win over another AFC West, the Raiders, while the Chiefs were expecting to have Mahomes miss at least one game following the road win over the Broncos. Rodgers' stellar play always boosts the number for Green Bay.
Packers vs. Chiefs all-time series
The Packers beat the Chiefs in Super Bowl 1, 35-10. But since then the Chiefs are 7-3-1 against them in interconference play. The Packers beat the Chiefs four years ago in Lambau Field. The Chiefs ruined the Packers' perfect season eight years ago in Arrowhead Stadium.
Three trends to know
— 57 percent of bettors are siding with the Packers to win by at least a touchdown and cover the spread.
— 58 percent of bettors like the total to go over with two potent offenses, even with Moore filling in for Mahomes.
— The Packers have covered in five of their six wins this season. The Chiefs ended a three-game skid against the spread in Denver.
QB POWER RANKINGS
Aaron Rodgers back to being the best; Mitchell Trubisky still isn't the worst
Three things to watch
Packers' run defense vs. Chiefs' running game
The Packers are No. 24 in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 128.9 yards per game at 4.9 yards per carry. The Chiefs can get too pass-happy at times with Andy Reid, but Moore's presence could force them to adjust to the preferred offensive game plan with which to attack the Packers, as they are much better against the pass and make big plays against it. LeSean McCoy has looked good when needed and playing off that can be a big help to Moore executing on intermediate throws.
Chiefs' run defense vs. Packers' running game
The Chiefs are No. 29 in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 148.9 yards per game at 5.0 yards per carry. The Packers should want to get Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams heavily involved to support Rodgers. That also will help keep the ball out of the hands of the Chiefs' still dangerous offense with its full complement of skill players, led by Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce.
Tyreek Hill vs. Jaire Alexander
Hill showed good early chemistry with Moore, delivering a long TD that put away the Broncos in Week 7. As a smaller, speedier wide receiver, he should see plenty of the Packers' best cornerback, Jaire Alexander. Hill needs to find a way to break free from Alexander at times and the Chiefs also need to move him around often between slot and perimeter to avoid this matchup as much as possible.
Stat that matters
Rodgers is 32-12 in October during his career. He also is now 8-2 against AFC West teams. He posted his first-ever perfect passer rating (158.3) in a game in Week 7. He is the all-time leader in NFL passing efficiency at 103.2 Moore is at 81.2 for his career.
Packers vs. Chiefs prediction
The Chiefs' defense had a terrific game against the Broncos, but now it will be without end Frank Clark while tackle Chris Jones misses another week. Rodgers isn't Joe Flacco, and Moore certainly isn't Mahomes. Kansas City hangs in there with a few nice drives, but Green Bay is the superior all-around offense given the circumstances.
Packers 30, Chiefs 23
