Four teams in the AFC have a 7-6 record going into Week 15 (Ravens, Titans, Colts, Dolphins) fighting for one wild-card playoff spot. Even though the Ravens lost to the Chiefs last week, they still are holding the No. 6 seed and have a 57 percent chance to make the playoffs; Pittsburgh's slide is helping Baltimore, as well.
Miami, on the other hand, will need a few more miracles. The Dolphins have two games left on the road, and they have only one road victory so far this season. They have the lowest probability to get to the playoffs out of those four teams.
The NFC playoff picture is similar. Back-to-back losses have hurt Minnesota’s chances, but the Vikings still have the highest probability to reach the playoffs when compared to the odds for the Panthers and Eagles.
AccuScore has used data from the first 14 weeks of the 2018 season and simulated every remaining game. Updated playoff chances are below.
WEEK 15 NFL PICKS:
Against the spread | Straight up
NFL playoff chances
| TEAM | Playoff chances | Week-to-week change |
| LOS ANGELES RAMS | 100 percent | 0 percent |
| KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | 100 percent | 0 percent |
| NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 100 percent | 0 percent |
| LOS ANGELES CHARGERS | 99.6 percent | 3.5 percent |
| NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 99.6 percent | -0.1 percent |
| CHICAGO BEARS | 98.6 percent | 13.3 percent |
| SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | 97.7 percent | 17.9 percent |
| HOUSTON TEXANS | 96.2 percent | -1.7 percent |
| DALLAS COWBOYS | 95.9 percent | 29.2 percent |
| PITTSBURGH STEELERS | 67.3 percent | -18.2 percent |
| BALTIMORE RAVENS | 57.2 percent | -7 percent |
| MINNESOTA VIKINGS | 42.4 percent | -12.5 percent |
| TENNESSEE TITANS | 28.7 percent | 17.4 percent |
| CAROLINA PANTHERS | 28.1 percent | -17.5 percent |
| INDIANAPOLIS COLTS | 23.1 percent | 14.7 percent |
| PHILADELPHIA EAGLES | 22.1 percent | -32 percent |
| DENVER BRONCOS | 14.5 percent | -13.9 percent |
| MIAMI DOLPHINS | 12.4 percent | 5.6 percent |
| WASHINGTON REDSKINS | 5.3 percent | 0.2 percent |
| DETROIT LIONS | 3.2 percent | 2.6 percent |
| GREEN BAY PACKERS | 2.9 percent | 0.7 percent |
| NEW YORK GIANTS | 2.7 percent | 0.1 percent |
| TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 1.2 percent | -1.6 percent |
| CLEVELAND BROWNS | 0.8 percent | 0.6 percent |
| CINCINNATI BENGALS | 0.7 percent | 0.3 percent |
| ATLANTA FALCONS | 0 percent | -0.6 percent |
| JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | 0 percent | -1.1 percent |
| BUFFALO BILLS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| NEW YORK JETS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| ARIZONA CARDINALS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| OAKLAND RAIDERS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
NFL playoff odds
Biggest improvements in playoff chances:
| Dallas Cowboys | 29 percent |
| Seattle Seahawks | 18 percent |
| Tennessee Titans | 17 percent |
Biggest drops in playoff chances:
| Philadelphia Eagles | -32 percent |
| Carolina Panthers | -18 percent |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -18 percent |
AccuScore's NFL playoff probabilities will be updated on a weekly basis.