With the NFL past the halfway point in the season, the playoff odds heading into Week 10 are starting to paint a clearer picture between contenders and those who may be better off setting their sights on 2019.
The Texans and Falcons continued their surge with Week 9 victories. That success is reflected in their updated playoff odds, as those teams have seen the two biggest improvements of the week. On the other hand, the Redskins and Packers suffered the steepest drops after losses in Week 9. Their odds decreased by 21 and 17 percent, respectively. Eight teams now have less than a one percent chance of making the playoffs.
AccuScore has used data from the previous weeks to simulate each remaining NFL game. Updated playoff chances are below.
WEEK 10 PICKS: Against the spread | Straight up
NFL playoff chances 2018
| TEAM | Playoff chances | Week-to-week change |
| KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | 100 percent | 0.0 percent |
| LOS ANGELES RAMS | 99.5 percent | -0.1 percent |
| NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 99.1 percent | 0.2 percent |
| NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 97.2 percent | 3.3 percent |
| LOS ANGELES CHARGERS | 87.7 percent | 5.9 percent |
| HOUSTON TEXANS | 84.9 percent | 14.2 percent |
| CAROLINA PANTHERS | 78.5 percent | 8.6 percent |
| PITTSBURGH STEELERS | 76.7 percent | 9.0 percent |
| PHILADEPHIA EAGLES | 72.3 percent | 10.2 percent |
| ATLANTA FALCONS | 53.8 percent | 12.7 percent |
| CINCINNATI BENGALS | 52.1 percent | 2.0 percent |
| MINNESOTA VIKINGS | 51.4 percent | 11.5 percent |
| CHICAGO BEARS | 46.4 percent | 8.1 percent |
| WASHINGTON REDSKINS | 31.6 percent | -20.9 percent |
| GREEN BAY PACKERS | 30.4 percent | -16.9 percent |
| MIAMI DOLPHINS | 28.4 percent | -0.2 percent |
| TENNESSEE TITANS | 19.5 percent | 3 percent |
| BALTIMORE RAVENS | 19.4 percent | -16 percent |
| JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | 16.9 percent | -0.7 percent |
| SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | 14.5 percent | -1.8 percent |
| INDIANAPOLIS COLTS | 13.6 percent | -6.5 percent |
| DALLAS COWBOYS | 11.2 percent | -11 percent |
| DETROIT LIONS | 9.9 percent | -1.9 percent |
| TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 2.2 percent | -2.3 percent |
| DENVER BRONCOS | 0.7 percent | -7.1 percent |
| SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS | 0.6 percent | 0.3 percent |
| NEW YORK JETS | 0.5 percent | -2.3 percent |
| NEW YORK GIANTS | 0.4 percent | 0.1 percent |
| CLEVELAND BROWNS | 0.3 percent | -0.7 percent |
| BUFFALO BILLS | 0.2 percent | -0.6 percent |
| OAKLAND RAIDERS | 0.1 percent | -0.1 percent |
| ARIZONA CARDINALS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
NFL playoff odds:
Biggest improvement in playoff chances:
| Houston Texans | +14 percent |
| Atlanta Falcons | +13 percent |
| Minnesota Vikings | +12 percent |
Biggest drops in playoff chances:
| Washington Redskins | -21 percent |
| Green Bay Packers | -17 percent |
| Baltimore Ravens | -16 percent |