Dolphins vs. Bills DFS Picks: Best DraftKings, FanDuel lineups and props for TNF primetime showdown

Sloan Piva

Dolphins vs. Bills DFS Picks: Best DraftKings, FanDuel lineups and props for TNF primetime showdown image

Thursday Night Football should be a fun one this week, with Tyreek Hill and the Dolphins hosting Josh Allen and the AFC East-rival Bills at Hard Rock Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime). 

If you're entering some DFS tournaments ahead of this star-studded matchup, the Sporting News can help point you in the right direction of the top sleepers, studs, and value picks so you can optimize your lineups. 

And what a buffet of talent you'll have to choose from this evening. Hill and fellow star receiver Jaylen Waddle combined for 12 catches and 239 yards last week in Miami's win over the Jaguars, while Allen racked up a total of 271 yards and four TDs en route to victory over the Cardinals. 

MOREDolphins vs. Bills odds, expert picks and predictions

Everyone knows the big names, but the key to building an ideal DFS showdown or single-game roster is to get the most bang for your buck with savvy Captain/MVP picks, sleeper flex plays, and contrarian strategies. 

Keep reading to see our optimal lineups for the Dolphins vs. Bills in DFS showdown and single-game contests on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. Good luck, have fun, and enjoy the divisional clash!

Dolphins vs. Bills NFL DFS picks: Optimal DraftKings lineup

Before we get into our lineup and strategy, here are the key scoring settings for DraftKings Showdown contests: They're full-point PPR, and they feature three-point bonuses for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, and 100 receiving yards. The Captain pick costs 1.5 times a player's original price, but he also gets his point total multiplied by 1.5.

POSITIONPLAYERTEAM/OPPONENTSALARY
CaptainJeff Wilson Jr., RBDolphins vs. Bills$3,600
FLEXTyreek Hill, WRDolphins vs. Bills$11,600
FLEXJosh Allen, QBBills at Dolphins$11,000
FLEXTua Tagovailoa, QB Dolphins vs. Bills$9,400
FLEXJaylen Waddle, WRDolphins vs. Bills$8,600
FLEXKeon Coleman, WRBills at Dolphins$5,800

Captain: Jeff Wilson Jr., RB, Dolphins vs. Bills ($3,600)

Wilson Jr. could be our meal ticket this week, as fellow Dolphins back Raheem Mostert has already been ruled out and De'Von Achane's status remains up in the air. If Wilson sees RB1 volume and finds anywhere near the level of per-touch efficiency he established in Week 1 (5 rushes for 26 yards), it's going to be a fun TNF ride. 

The biggest reason to make Wilson our Captain: it allows us to afford the four biggest stars in this game. If we can roster Hill, Allen, Tua, and Waddle, it feels like a no-brainer to slot Wilson into the 1.5-times boost spot for just $3,600. One long run and we're probably in the money. A touchdown or two and we could be flirting with the grand prize. 

MORE: Top DFS sleepers and value picks for NFL Week 2

FLEX: Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins vs. Bills ($11,600)

It's almost inconceivable to construct a lineup involving a Dolphins game and somehow not utilize Hill. He's the most lethal weapon in the sport, and not even pre-game handcuffs can contain him.

Hill put up 29 DK points almost effortlessly in Week 1, and now he gets to torch a Buffalo secondary that's pretty young and looked pretty mistake-prone in the Bills' shaky 34-28 win over the Cardinals. Fire up the Cheetah!

FLEX 2: Josh Allen, QB, Bills vs. Dolphins ($11,000)

A perennial MVP candidate, Allen will need to be at the top of his game this year in order for Buffalo to continue its positive run of success in the AFC. Life without Stefon Diggs already seemed hard last week against Arizona, which fields the secondary PFF ranked 32nd at the start of the season.

No worries, though — Allen broke the Cards in the second half like the Bills Mafia breaks plastic tables while tailgating. All said, the big-bruising QB put up 32.2 fantasy points. He's a must-roster asset on Thursday night. 

FLEX 3: Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins vs. Bills ($9,400)

Tua made for some strong fantasy team names this year, but he remains an underrated and underappreciated fantasy and DFS player due to the sheer number of studs who play around him.

Still, you can't argue with the strategy of stacking him with Hill and Waddle — why benefit from the two most dangerous pass-catchers on the team and not also benefit from the QB's points in every completion and passing touchdown? It's a no-brainer, especially if you have the cheddar. 

MORE: How to play DFS | Best NFL betting sites 

FLEX 4: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Dolphins vs. Bills ($8,600)

As you might have guessed by now, I have the Dolphins beating the Bills in our Thursday Night Football betting preview. So, of course Waddle made the cut for our TNF showdown squad. He caught all five of his targets in Week 1 against the Jags, totaling a saucy 109 yards and 19.2 DK points. Here's hoping he does something similar this week against the oft-shaky cornerback corps of Buffalo. 

FLEX 5: Keon Coleman, WR, Bills at Dolphins ($5,800)

Coleman led the Bills in both targets (5) and receiving yards (51) in his NFL debut, but he failed to find the end zone unlike his veteran teammates Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins. Still, it's comforting to see Allen trusting in his new shiny toy, and Coleman clearly has the goods to evolve into a go-to WR1. At $5,800 with exactly $5,800 left in our war chest, this pick practically made itself. 

Dolphins vs. Bills NFL DFS picks: Optimal FanDuel lineup

Here are the key scoring settings for FanDuel single-game tournaments: They're half-point PPR with three-point bonuses for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, or 100 receiving yards. The MVP pick multiplies that player's total by 1.5 but does not cost 1.5 times their listed salary.

POSITIONPLAYERTEAM/OPPONENTSALARY         
MVP    Tyreek Hill, WRDolphins vs. Bills$16,500
FLEX       Tua Tagovailoa, QB Dolphins vs. Bills$14,000
FLEXDe'Von Achane, RB Dolphins vs. Bills$12,500
FLEXKeon Coleman, WRBills at Dolphins$10,000
FLEXJeff Wilson Jr., RBDolphins vs. Bills$6,500

We're still stacking Hill and Tua, but we're putting TyFreak in the MVP spot since it doesn't cost us any extra to get the 1.5-times multiplier on him.

We're also hedging a bit, so we have some Achane stock, just in case he suits up and we can almost guarantee ourselves a near-monopoly on Dolphins rushing production between him and JWJ.

Coleman remains the best upside pass-catcher for Buffalo, as we're not touching Dalton Kincaid after he caught one pass for 11 yards against Arizona. Miami stymied Evan Engram last week, so we're not signing up for a similar heartbreak.

Dolphins vs. Bills NFL DFS picks: Optimal SuperDraft lineup

As we did all of last season, we're also featuring SuperDraft lineups in our single-game DFS contest columns. 

For those unfamiliar, SuperDraft's DFS scoring involves point multipliers as opposed to traditional salary-capped or tiered contests. A winning lineup will likely feature a strong mix of stud fantasy contributors with 1x-1.6x boosts, as well as matchup-based sleepers with larger multipliers. Each player is assigned a scoring multiplier based on their value as determined by SuperDraft. Users can roster any player in their lineup with no restrictions.

Here are the most notable scoring rules for SuperDraft NFL contests: Half-point PPRfour-point passing TDs, and two-point bonuses for 100 rushing yards100 receiving yardsand 300 passing yards. SuperDraft lineups feature no D/ST position. The "Champ" position adds an additional 50-percent boost to the selected player, while the SuperFlex positions are limited to the boost listed for each player. 

POSITIONPLAYERGAMEBOOST
CHAMPJaylen Waddle, WRDolphins vs. Bills1.95x
SFLEXTyreek Hill, WRDolphins vs. Bills1x
SFLEXKhalil Shakir, WRBills at Dolphins1.5x
SFLEXKeon Coleman, WRBills at Dolphins1.6x
SFLEXJeff Wilson Jr., RBDolphins vs. Bills 1.95x

MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS: How to play SuperDraft

The name of the game with SuperDraft and its non-salary, boost-fueled DFS contests is still value, but it does also place an impetus on lineup variance.

So, when 70 percent of entrants pick Tyreek at just one times the points boost, it makes sense for us to draft Waddle at 1.95 times and hope we can Waddle to victory.

We also add Shakir for his healthy flex boost and because of the TD upside. Other than that, we're looking pretty similar here as to what we did with our DK and FD lineups. 

If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation. Learn more >

Sloan Piva

Sloan Piva Photo

Sloan Piva is a content producer for The Sporting News, primarily focused on betting, fantasy sports, and poker. A lifelong New Englander, Sloan earned his BA and MA in Journalism from the University of Massachusetts and now lives in coastal Rhode Island with his wife and two kids.