The 2023 NFL season continues to be a rollercoaster, but our best bets column remains as trustworthy as ever despite injuries, upsets, and bad beats. We have weathered the storm and sailed through the choppy waters of the betting world, always managing to come out the other side on top. We'll look to continue our successful campaign in Week 8 with a slate as fully-loaded as a 1998 Dodge Stratus.
Every Friday afternoon, we unveil my favorite moneyline, spread, over/under, and player prop wagers for the week. We run the gauntlet and handpick the best value opportunities on BetMGM and SuperDraft, then tell you exactly how and why you should attack the books to make some money. And through seven weeks, we have made plenty of money.
While Week 7 marked our first losing week of the season (5-6), we maintain a solid 59-38-1 record on the campaign. That's a .602 winning percentage, for those who don't have their calculator app open. We're ready to get right back into the winning column and crush this weekend's massive slate of betting opportunities.
MORE WEEK 8 BETTING: Against the spread | Moneyline | Top props
We don't view sports betting as a gamble. With the right mindset, strategies, and preparedness, we see it as an investment — and we're loving our return on investment through seven weeks. That's why we don't just call this thing of ours a hobby — rather, it's a second job that allows us to punch in while we're sitting on our couch.
Your goal is to boost your bankroll, and our top priority is to help you achieve that goal. That's why we put in a ton of statistical research, attack all the angles, uncover all the betting trends, and pinpoint value across all the sports betting sites each week.
This weekend's slate features a bunch of great games and a plethora of lucrative opportunities for bettors. So, let's go get that money and reveal our best moneyline, spread, over/under, and SuperDraft player prop bets for Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season.
JUMP TO: Spreads | Moneylines | Over/under | Player props
NFL Best Bets Week 8: Against the spread
All odds courtesy of BetMGM. Click here for more odds and sign up for BetMGM today!
Rams (+6) at Cowboys
We're not saying the Cowboys will get upset by Matthew Stafford and the Rams in Arlington, but we're also not buying that Dallas will beat L.A. by six. Stafford has an elite duo of wideouts in Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, and the 'Boys will be missing IRed cornerback Trevon Diggs more than ever once they get cooking downfield.
Buy the Rams 1.5 points if you want some extra insurance, but we think six points is plenty for Sean McVay's squad. Los Angeles has covered in Cincinnati and against the 49ers, the latter of whom smoked the Cowboys 42-10 earlier this month.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Cowboys 26, Rams 23
Chiefs (-7) at Broncos
The Chiefs have gone 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread and they face the dreadful defense of the Broncos, who have gone 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS. This game should be projected closer to KC -10 than -7, but we'll take the gift from our friends at BetMGM. The Chiefs just beat Denver by 11 points two weeks ago, so take the low-hanging fruit and enjoy the sweetness of an easy victory.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Chiefs 27, Broncos 17
Other Week 8 spreads we like: Chiefs -2.5 at Broncos (1Q); Lions -8 vs Raiders
Best NFL moneyline bets Week 8
Falcons at Titans (-140)
We understand if you don't have a ton of confidence in Desmond Ridder as an NFL quarterback, but it's important to note that the Falcons are 4-3 and have a much better team from top to bottom than they have had since the Matt Ryan era. Safety Jessie Bates III has been a great addition to an already-promising young secondary that includes stud corner A.J. Terrell, Calais Campbell has shown out amidst an underrated pass-rush, and rookie back Bijan Robinson — when not suffering from bellyaches — has been a sight for sore eyes.
In the wake of Ryan Tannehill's ankle injury, the Titans will be rolling out rookie QB Will Levis to lead an already-anemic passing offense. Tennessee also continues to struggle against opposing aerial attacks, allowing 6.8 net yards per passing attempt (4th-worst in the NFL) and picking off just TWO passes all season (fewest in the league). We like the Dirty Birds to go into Nashville and steal this one, becoming the most unlikely five-game winner in the NFL.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Falcons 19, Titans 17
Other Week 8 moneylines we like: Jets (-150) at Giants; Saints (-120) at Colts; Jaguars (-140) at Steelers
Best NFL over/under bets Week 8
Packers vs. Vikings: OVER 42
Neither of these teams boast particularly strong defenses, but both have sneaky good offenses — especially in plus matchups. The Packers have averaged 29 points in divisional games this season, while the Vikings average 21.6 points per game and just beat the 49ers without Justin Jefferson.
This one should be quite the aerial battle, with Kirk Cousins taking the chance to prove the haters wrong (and drive up his free-agent value this winter) and Jordan Love trying to prove that he belongs as Aaron Rodgers' successor in Green Bay. Screw 42 — we have this NFC North tilt reaching 50 points.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Packers 27, Vikings 23
Other Week 8 over/unders we like: Eagles at Commanders: OVER 43.5; Patriots at Dolphins: OVER 47
MORE BETTING:
Pick'em, Survivor Pool Picks | Raiders-Lions preview | Bears-Chargers preview
Best NFL player prop bets Week 8
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Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs at Broncos — OVER 76.5 receiving yards
National Tight End Day has come and gone, but Kelce's fun should continue after he netted 179 receiving yards and a TD last week. Denver has surrendered the most receiving yards to tight ends this season, so this matchup looks like a match made in heaven like Kelswift. Hammer this over like the NFL hammers celebrity Taylor Swift into Chiefs games.
MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS & FANTASY PROPS: How to play SuperDraft
Breece Hall, RB, Jets at Giants — OVER 68.5 rushing yards
Ever since I traded Breece Lightning to Brinks in our SN Fantasy Expert league, the Jets rookie has been on a rampage. In games in which he sees double-digit carries, Hall has averaged 124.3 rushing yards. In just Gang Green's past two games, he has accumulated 287 all-purpose yards and two TDs. The Giants have surrendered 857 rushing yards to RBs this season, second-most in the NFL. Smash the OVER.
Dameon Pierce, Texans at Panthers — OVER 53.5 rushing yards
Many have speculated that Houston could be moving toward a 50-50 backfield split with Pierce and Devin Singletary, but for now we think Pierce will remain as the Texans' RB1. Carolina's run D has been very generous, allowing an average of 134.3 ground yards per game to RBs (2nd-most in the NFL). Fire up Pierce and watch him get fierce.
