The Ravens are expected to blow out the Jets on Thursday night. Baltimore is favored by 16 points per the NFL betting odds, and that spread makes the Ravens one of the biggest favorites of the 2019 season. Although tonight’s game is expected to be a blowout, betting on player props will make the game entertaining for those looking for a little action.
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Lamar Jackson over/under 190.5 passing yards
Jackson is now a -1000 favorite to be named NFL MVP at the end of the season. He has had a remarkable year, leading Baltimore to an 11-2 record, but his passing numbers have dipped in recent weeks.
The second-year quarterback out of Louisville has thrown for less than 170 yards in each of his last three games, but he should go over his total tonight provided he plays. Jackson is officially listed as questionable due to a quad injury.
Baltimore blew out the LA Rams three weeks ago, and Jackson faced two of the best defenses in the NFL in San Francisco and Buffalo the last two weeks. The Jets are a step down from those two units, but they have a good run defense, so Jackson will need to take to the air on Thursday night. He has thrown for at least 220 yards in seven games this season, and it’s a good bet he goes over tonight’s total.
MORE: Full betting preview for Jets vs. Ravens
Sam Darnold over/under 220.5 passing yards
This number should be about 10 yards higher. Darnold has been solid since returning from mono, and he has thrown for 230 yards or more in six straight games. The weather conditions in Baltimore on Thursday night aren’t bad, and the Ravens aren’t as solid in the secondary as you might think.
The Ravens are conceding 219.0 yards per game through the air, but they have faced some pretty bad quarterbacks this season. Average and good quarterbacks have had little trouble throwing on Baltimore’s defensive backs, and Darnold has proven to be a league average quarterback with his play.
Lamar Jackson over/under 60.5 rushing yards
With just 23 more rushing yards, Jackson will break Michael Vick’s single-season rushing record for a quarterback. Jackson has 1,017 yards on the ground this season, but this total might be too high for a few reasons.
First, the young quarterback is dealing with a quad injury. He ran 11 times for 40 yards last week against Buffalo, and the injury certainly seemed to bother him when he decided to run. Baltimore has already locked up a playoff spot, and John Harbaugh may ask his quarterback to take less chances running the ball with the playoffs on the horizon.
Additionally, the Jets have the best run defense in the NFL. Gang Green is conceding just 3.0 YPC and 78.8 YPG on the ground this season, as Gregg Williams’ front seven has proven it can stop the run.
RUSH TO JUDGMENT
Lamar Jackson passed Michael Vick as a QB long before rushing record
Mark Ingram over/under 56.5 rushing yards
Ingram might not go over his total either. While Baltimore’s best running back has rushed for 887 yards per game and is averaging 4.9 YPC, he has yet to carry the ball more than 20 times in a game this year. As with Jackson, Harbaugh seems to be focused on having his players healthy in the postseason, and Ingram has not carried the ball more than 15 times in over two months.
Gus Edwards and Justice Hill have seen increased roles over the second half of the season, and Ingram is a nine-year veteran who Harbaugh wants at close to 100 percent in the playoffs.
Robby Anderson over/under 51.5 receiving yards
For the third straight season, it appears that Anderson will be the leading receiver on the Jets at the end of the year. He has been the most reliable option on the team during a tumultuous time for the organization, and Anderson has shined in recent weeks. Anderson has tallied 304 receiving yards and two touchdowns in his last three games, easily going over this total in each of those outings.
It’s hard to say whether Anderson will be targeted so frequently this week. Prior to those last three games, Anderson caught just nine passes for 103 yards over five games, so he is rather boom or bust.