Biggest upsets in NFL playoff history: Jets, Patriots, Jaguars among biggest underdogs to win outright

Jacob Camenker

Biggest upsets in NFL playoff history: Jets, Patriots, Jaguars among biggest underdogs to win outright image

The NFL has one of the most competitive postseasons in all of sports. Its one-and-done format is different than that of the major sports in the country and sets up the possibility for true underdog stories to emerge.

Over the course of the NFL's history, there have been plenty of monumental upsets. Fans have learned that teams that are heavily favored are never safe from potentially blowing a game at the worst possible time, not even in the postseason.

That's why the NFL's "any given Sunday" mantra is more than just a cliché.

Still, the anatomy of an upset gets at least a bit more difficult in the playoffs. True juggernaut teams are hard to defeat, so there isn't an overwhelming amount of big-time upsets.

But still, there have been more than a handful of times that postseason teams have gone into games as shoo-in winners only to exit them as surprise losers. Here's a run down of some of the NFL's most shocking postseason results.

MORE: How one Jets play fueled a history-altering upset in Super Bowl III

Biggest upsets in NFL playoff history

The NFL has had plenty of big-time upsets in its history, but only nine times have underdogs of 11-plus points won an NFL playoff game outright.

The biggest upset came back in 1969 when the Joe Namath-led Jets beat the Colts in Super Bowl 3. It had been presumed that the Colts, hailing from the NFL, would easily dispatch the Jets, who came from the AFL. Instead, the upstart league got a big win over the NFL shortly before the two operations merged.

TSN ARCHIVES: Jets stun Colts in Super Bowl III

Arguably the most notable double-digit underdog to win outright is the Giants. New York beat the Patriots 20-17 in Super Bowl 42 to deny previously 18-0 New England a perfect season, which had previously been achieved by only the 1972 Dolphins. New England was a 12.5-point favorite in that contest.

Below is a look at the biggest upsets in NFL playoff history, according to spreads from Stathead.

Matchup Date Round Spread Winner
Jets vs. Colts Jan. 12, 1969 Super Bowl 3 Colts -18 Jets, 16-7
Patriots vs. Rams Feb. 3, 2002 Super Bowl 36 Rams -14 Patriots, 20-17
Jaguars at Broncos Jan. 4, 1997 Divisional Broncos -12.5 Jaguars, 30-27
Giants vs. Patriots Feb. 3, 2008 Super Bowl 42 Patriots -12.5 Giants, 20-17
Chiefs vs. Vikings Jan. 11, 1970 Super Bowl 4 Vikings -12 Chiefs, 23-7
Chargers at Colts Jan. 13, 2008 Divisional Colts -11 Chargers, 28-24
Falcons at Vikings  Jan. 17, 1999 NFC Championship Vikings -11 Falcons, 30-27
Broncos vs. Packers Jan. 25, 1998 Super Bowl 32 Packers -11 Broncos, 31-24
Vikings at 49ers Jan. 9, 1988 Divisional 49ers -11 Vikings, 36-24

Double-digit underdogs have a record of just 14-62 straight up in postseason history. Five of those 14 wins have been by underdogs of exactly 10 points.

Jacob Camenker

Jacob Camenker Photo

Jacob Camenker first joined The Sporting News as a fantasy football intern in 2018 after his graduation from UMass. He became a full-time employee with TSN in 2021 and now serves as a senior content producer with a particular focus on the NFL. Jacob worked at NBC Sports Boston as a content producer from 2019 to 2021. He is an avid fan of the NFL Draft and ranked 10th in FantasyPros’ Mock Draft Accuracy metric in both 2021 and 2022.