The countdown to Super Bowl 57 is on, with the Chiefs set to face the Eagles at State Farm Stadium in Arizona on Sunday, Feb. 12 at 6:30 p.m. ET. With two MVP-candidate QBs, a plethora of stars on both sides of the ball, and betting now legal in some capacity in 36 U.S. states, it comes as no surprise that sportsbooks anticipate a record-breaking amount of bets on this Super Bowl. We have been running the gauntlet of betting and DFS content for the big game, including the best broadcast, commercial, and halftime show prop bets. If you didn't have time to sort through all of our picks, we've put together our favorites into one handy betting guide.
Bettors of all kinds come out of the woodwork for the big game, with seasoned sharps going hard on traditional bets like spreads, moneylines, and over/unders and casual fans opting instead for Super Bowl squares contests. The prop market has something to offer for every level of bettor. Player and game props can be some of the most lucrative football-related wagers you can make, and exotic props can make the viewing experience vastly more entertaining for fair-weather fans.
Without further ado, let's take a look at all of the best props our betting team found for Super Bowl 57. Good luck and enjoy the show!
JUMP AHEAD TO PROPS FOR:
Chiefs | Eagles | Broadcast | National Anthem | Halftime Show | Coin Flip, Gatorade Color
Best Super Bowl 57 Props: Chiefs player & game props (Nick Musial)
All Chiefs odds via BetMGM or DraftKings Sportsbook.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 68.5 rushing plus receiving yards (-120)
Pacheco assumed a large workload in the AFC championship game, logging a 57-percent snap share to go along with 15 total touches (10 carries, five receptions). We think there's a good chance Pacheco assumes an even larger snap share in the Super Bowl, making his 68.5 total rushing and receiving yards prop well within reach. Pacheco only averaged 2.6 yards per carry against the Bengals, but against an Eagles defense that's allowed the 10th-highest rush EPA (-0.043), he looks to be in line for a better rushing performance. Pacheco hadn't been much of a threat in the receiving game but had a career-high 59 receiving yards against Cincinnati. Chances are he doesn't eclipse that number this week, but as long as he chips in with at least 20-plus receiving yards, he should post at least 70-plus total rushing and receiving yards.
SUPER BOWL PROPS:
Eagles | Chiefs | Mahomes | Hurts | "Novelty" props
Jerick McKinnon longest rush UNDER 8.5 yards (-140)
Coinciding with a bet on McKinnon to record fewer than 25 rushing yards, we'll also bet on his longest rush to be UNDER nine yards. While McKinnon's had a handful of impactful plays as a receiver, he hasn't done much as a runner, averaging just 3.64 yards per carry this season. Since we're expecting Pacheco to assume the majority of the rushing attempts, McKinnon has also only recorded a rush longer than nine yards in five games this season, and with a limited workload, it's likely he fails to log to eclipse this number.
SUPER BOWL 57 EXOTIC PROP BETS:
National Anthem | Halftime | Broadcast | Coin toss, more
Kansas City Chiefs Team Total OVER 24.5 points (-110)
It's rare to see Kansas City's team total sitting at only 24.5, as there was just one game this season (Week 4 at Tampa Bay) where the Chiefs team total closed lower than 24.5 (23.5). A matchup against a well-rounded Eagles defense that's held its opponents to a total of 14 points through two playoff games plays a part in the low total, but we can't stomach fading the league's most efficient offense in the big game. Mahomes now has ample time to heal his ankle, making him more of a threat to create explosive, off-schedule plays with his feet and arm. Omitting last week's matchup against the injury-riddled 49ers, the Eagles' defense hasn't faced an offense that ranks in the top 10 in drop-back EPA since their Week 16 contest against the Cowboys, a game in which they allowed 40 points. We think this is a prime buy-low opportunity on an offense that's rarely priced like this.
MORE SUPER BOWL PICKS:
DraftKings lineup | FanDuel lineup | Same Game Parlay
Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl 57 MVP (+120)
With Kansas City's moneyline currently sitting at +105 on DraftKings Sportsbook, we'll bet Mahomes to take home MVP honors at +120, instead. There's certainly a chance someone other than Mahomes wins MVP if the Chiefs emerge victorious, but in what's likely to be a higher-scoring game (over/under at 51), Mahomes will need to showcase his elite skillset. Back in Super Bowl 54, many thought RB Damien Williams was most deserving of MVP honors with a 133-yard, two-TD effort, but Mahomes (26-of-42 passing, 286 yards, two TDs, two INTs) still walked away with the Pete Rozelle Trophy. We're thinking the once and future MVP ultimately becomes a two-time Super Bowl MVP.
SUPER BOWL BETTING:
Game preview | MVP | Over/Under | Best bets | Market report
Jersey number of first touchdown scorer: UNDER 11.5 (-130)
Starting off, we'll wager on the jersey number of the game's first touchdown scorer to be less than 12 at -130 odds. If the game's first touchdown is an offensive score, we like our chances for the UNDER 11.5 to hit. If it's the Eagles who reach paydirt first, skill position studs, Jalen Hurts (No. 1), DeVonta Smith (No . 6), and A.J. Brown (No.11) give us the best chance to cash our ticket. We think Brown could end up being the game's first touchdown scorer, as he looks to be in line for an effective game against a Chiefs pass defense that's aligned in press coverage at the second-highest rate this season according to Next Gen Stats (43.9 percent). Brown's thrived against press coverage throughout his time in the NFL, and this season "averaged a career-high 4.5 yards per route against press coverage this season, the most in a season in the NGS era (min. 100 routes)."
If it's not Brown and the Eagles scoring the game's first touchdown, Kansas City has four highly-utilized skill position players whose jersey numbers are less than 12 (Jerick McKinnon, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Isaih Pacheco, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling). A Travis Kelce or Patrick Mahomes' first touchdown would be a crusher, but we'll take our chances with one of the Chiefs' other offensive weapons to score the game's first touchdown.
Best Super Bowl 57 Props: Eagles player & game props (Jovan Alford)
All Eagles props from FanDuel.
A.J. Brown anytime TD (+130)
Brown has not made a huge impact in the postseason thus far, recording just seven receptions (14 targets) for 50 yards. This is a far cry from what we saw from the star wide receiver during the regular season when he recorded 88 receptions (145 targets) for 1,496 yards and 11 scores. However, bettors should not be alarmed by his lack of production in the Eagles' first two playoff games. Not only did Philadelphia jump out to early leads, thus limiting Brown's opportunities, but the Chiefs present a highly favorable matchup. During the regular season, Kansas City's defense allowed 20 touchdowns to wide receivers, which was tied with the Titans for the second most in the NFL. They've been better in the playoffs (two TDs to WRs), but if Brown gets matched up against L'Jarius Sneed (four receiving TDs allowed) or rookie Jaylen Watson (five TDs allowed), it could be a good day for the veteran wide receiver.
Jalen Hurts anytime TD (+105)
With Hurts having almost two weeks to rest his sore right shoulder, we should expect him to be involved in the running game and be used heavily inside the red zone against the Chiefs. Hurts scored a rushing touchdown in the Eagles' dominating win over the 49ers and had a rushing touchdown in their blowout win over the Giants. During the regular season, the dynamic dual-threat quarterback scored a career-high 13 rushing touchdowns, with 11 coming inside the red zone. Bettors should pounce on this number because it could be -105 or -120 come Super Bowl Sunday.
Dallas Goedert over 49.5 receiving yards (-110)
If the Chiefs' defense tries to take A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith out of the Eagles' passing game, it could open up the door for Goedert. The veteran tight end didn't do much against the 49ers' vaunted defense in the NFC title game, recording five receptions (six targets) for 23 yards. At the same time, Goedert was being defended by one of the best linebackers in the league (Fred Warner). The 28-year-old pass catcher has gone over 49.5 receiving yards in seven out of 12 regular season games and once in the postseason (58 yards vs. Giants). He will be going up against a Chiefs' defense with solid linebackers and safeties who have held tight ends to 39 receiving yards per game in the postseason. It's not ideal for Goedert, but he only needs four receptions to hit this number based on his season average (12.8 yards per catch). Bettors should also take a look at Goedert's anytime TD prop (+175), as Kansas City allowed nine touchdowns to tight ends during the regular season.
Jalen Hurts under 31.5 passing attempts (-114)
With Hurts still dealing with a right shoulder injury, we will take the UNDER on his attempts in the Super Bowl. The dual-threat quarterback is unlikely to be asked to throw 32 or more times against the Chiefs, especially if the Eagles can find their groove on the ground. Hurts faced this Kansas City team last season, where he completed 32-of-48 passes for 387 yards and two touchdowns. While it was nice for Hurts to have a big day through the air, it wasn't a recipe for success, as the Chiefs won 42-30. If the Eagles want to win the big game, they will need Hurts to be used both on the ground and in the passing game. He has gone UNDER 31.5 pass attempts in nine out of 15 regular season games and easily hit the UNDER in both playoff games (24 attempts vs. NYG, 25 attempts vs. SF).
First offensive play of the game: Pass (-105)
A bet on the game's first play to be a pass attempt can be an entertaining way to get a quick sweat on another unique prop. If Kansas City starts with possession, it enters the big game employing the second-highest early down pass rate this season (61.1 percent). We're hoping offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy continues calling early down passes, giving Mahomes a shot to get a confidence-boosting pass completion to start the game.
If the Eagles start with the ball, given their overall run-heaviness (50.04 percent run rate), surprisingly, they've only run at a 48.1 percent clip on early downs (14th in NFL). Like Mahomes, we could see Hurts attempt a pass on the game's first play to shake some potential nerves and boost his confidence. At -105 (implied probability 51.22 percent), we think there's a higher than 51.22 percent shot the game's first offensive play is a pass, giving us a tiny edge.
Best Super Bowl 57 Props: Broadcast props (Sloan Piva)
*Broadcast props aren't available at most legal sportsbooks in the US, so consider the following picks as guides for props contests during watch parties!
| Whose Mom/Wife Will be Shown First | Odds |
|---|---|
| Donna Kelce (Travis and Jason Kelce’s mom) | -750 |
| Brittany Mahomes (Patrick Mahomes’ wife) | +424 |
Sorry, Brittany — the United States loves itself a football mom, and Donna Kelce has been just darling in every one of her broadcasting appearances so far. She's wholesome and super proud of her kids -- two virtues that the country appreciates in a public mom. With All-Pro tight end son Travis going against All-Pro center Jason, this is clearly a storyline Fox will run with early and often during the broadcast.
Remember when Donna Kelce went to both her sons' playoff games on the same day? (THREAD ⬇️) pic.twitter.com/WRNifyk763
— NFL (@NFL) May 8, 2022
| Will Kevin Burkhardt/Greg Olsen Mention Odds | Odds |
|---|---|
| No | -450 |
| Yes | +275 |
Odds they mention odds? Honestly, pretty good at this point. Sports betting is now legal and operating in some capacity in 36 U.S. states, and Fox and the NFL have partnerships with betting sites. We've seen Al Michaels tip-toe around the subject of betting on NBC in the past, but we wouldn't be surprised if Fox comes right out and lists some odds at some point throughout the broadcast. "This thing of ours" should no longer be taboo if nearly 75 percent of our nation is gambling legally.
| When Will Donna Kelce be Shown First After Kickoff | Odds |
|---|---|
| 1st Quarter | +160 |
| 4th Quarter | +165 |
| 2nd Quarter | +300 |
| 3rd Quarter | +350 |
Donna will be shown in the first quarter, and we're 100 percent sure of that. The Fox producers won't be able to contain themselves with this storyline served on a platter.
Best Super Bowl 57 Props: National anthem props (Piva)
How long will the national anthem run? (SIA)
- Over 126.5 seconds -130
- Under 126.5 seconds -110
At first glance, 2:06 seems like a ton of time. Only six artists dating back to Beyonce in Super Bowl 38 have eclipsed the 2:06 mark, but this year's singer Chris Stapleton has seemingly never rushed through anything in his life, and he's been known to perform his already-slow songs even slower in concert. He once performed a rendition of "Tennessee Whiskey" (original length: 4:53) for over eight minutes — he's a modern-day Jerry Garcia!
In years past, we could rely on leaks or past National Anthem performances by the artist in question. This year, all we have to go by is the recent history of anthems and the personal style of the artist. We can also take into consideration that many sportsbooks opened this prop at 119.5 seconds, and the gambling masses smashed the OVER so heavily that it has crawled up a whopping seven seconds.
That's too much time, in our humble opinion. Country stars tend to get 'er done in two minutes or quicker, with the recent exception of country-pop singer Luke Bryan in Super Bowl 51. However, even his lengthy version didn't make it to 2:06, instead lasting the same amount of time as Idina Menzel two years prior in Super Bowl 49 (2:04).
Pop stars tend to draw out the anthems much longer than country stars, and while Stapleton is known for his long drawl and stretched-out croons, we think the betting public has bet this one higher than it needs to be. We'll be going the contrarian route and betting the UNDER of 126.5 seconds for the less-juiced odds of -110, but cross those fingers because anything can happen on game day.
Best Super Bowl 57 Props: Halftime show props (Piva)
What will be Rihanna's first song performed during the halftime show? (SIA)
| Song | Odds |
| Diamonds | +220 |
| Don't Stop the Music | +245 |
| We Found Love | +350 |
| Lift Me Up | +430 |
| Believe It | +455 |
| Where Have You Been | +505 |
| Umbrella | +645 |
| Work | +800 |
| Hate That I Love You | +1000 |
| Cheers (Drink to That) | +1000 |
| Live Your Life | +1400 |
| B*tch Better Have My Money | +1500 |
Rihanna has released 53 singles throughout her illustrious career, as well as 17 songs as a featured artist. Nine of those topped the Billboard Top 40, and an incredible 25 of those have peaked at No. 4 or better. So, it's easy to see why the options for 'first song' are so plentiful. It's typically pretty rare to have six songs at +505 or shorter in this prop category, never mind a whopping 10 at +1000 or less.
Emerging as the favorite, "Diamonds" has a slower-paced, bass-thumping cadence that highlights Ri's tremendous singing voice and introspective lyrics. But faster-tempo songs like "Don't Stop the Music" and the Calvin Harris mega-hit "We Found Love" have kicked off halftime shows in the past. And nobody would be surprised if she starts the show with her first and still most-famous hit "Umbrella," which always rocks the house and provides the opportunity for a massive cameo by her mentor, Jay-Z, who has also served as one of the producers of the Halftime Show since 2019.
We're going with a semi-sleeper and betting "Lift Me Up," with the belief that Rihanna will start slow and sing something with strong emotional significance in honor of Black History Month. A native of Barbados, Rihanna has embraced her role as a powerful voice for African-Americans, diversity, and inclusivity. She once told the New York Times: “In my own household, my father is half-black, half-white. My mom is black from South America. I was seeing diversity. That’s all I knew.”
"Lift Me Up" was written as a tribute to the late, great actor Chadwick Boseman as part of the soundtrack to Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, but many lyrics within the song also seem to parallel the continual struggle of being black in America, like "drowning in an endless sea," "burning in a hopeless dream," and the hauntingly beautiful last words pleading "lift me up, hold me down, keep me safe...we need light, we need love." This song would immediately give the audience goosebumps. If it's not the opening song, it might be the closer.
Specials: Guest appearances during halftime show (SIA)
| Guest | Odds |
| JAY-Z | -265 |
| Drake | -195 |
| Calvin Harris | -195 |
| A$AP Rocky | +195 |
| DJ Khaled | +200 |
| Kendrick Lamar | +255 |
| Eminem | +270 |
| T.I. | +350 |
| Kanye West | +405 |
| Paul McCartney | +500 |
| Kid Cudi | +505 |
| David Guetta | +510 |
| Pharrell Williams | +610 |
The two bets worth the most consideration in this list of potential guest appearances are Jay-Z and Drake. Jay-Z helped launch Rihanna's career and collaborated with her on her breakout hit "Umbrella," which will almost assuredly be a part of the halftime show. Drake, meanwhile, has collaborated with Ri more than any other artist has during her 17-year career, and he has little to no negative publicity around him to affect the public's perception of the show.
Calvin Harris produced two of Rihanna's 10 most popular songs, "This is What You Came For" and "We Found Love," but DJ appearances during Super Bowl halftime shows have been rare. DJ Khaled, however, makes his way into basically everything, so he's a good sleeper bet here at +200. Eminem at +270 also seems like a good value, as he collaborated with Ri on "Love the Way You Lie," which became the third-most popular Rihanna song on the Billboard charts. It would mark Em's second halftime show in as many years, as he was a featured artist in the Dr. Dre halftime show for Super Bowl 56.
A$AP Rocky, RiRi's partner and the father of her son, will probably not take the stage with Ri, as they tend to keep their professional and private lives separate. We have yet to see them perform or record together, and it would be a massive surprise to see that suddenly change during the biggest performance of her life.
Another long shot is Kanye West, who we mentioned earlier has significantly damaged his public perception over the past few years. He's a featured artist in multiple Rihanna songs, including FourFiveSeconds with Paul McCartney on guitar. It's quite possible Ri just edits out Kanye's part and Sir Paul takes the stage with her, which would certainly be a nice surprise for the 35-and-older demographic.
Best Super Bowl 57 Exotic Props: Coin toss, Gatorade shower, more (Piva)
What will the coin toss land on?
- Heads -105
- Tails -105
Four of the past five Super Bowl coin tosses have landed 'heads,' but that comes after a four-year run of 'tails' never failing. Before that, 'heads' had a five-year winning streak. Will 'heads' continue to build on its dominant 9-5 run since Super Bowl 43 in 2009? Or will 'tails' bounce back (so to speak), and avoid falling five flips below .500 in 15 years?
Your financial advisor might tell you that betting on a literal coin flip is not the sagest financial decision, but money management is a Monday conversation. Millions of people bet on 'red' or 'black' at roulette wheels each day despite having just a 47.4 percent chance of hitting one color or the other (standard American roulette wheels feature 36 red/black spaces for every two green). Picking 'heads' or 'tails' is literally a 50/50 even proposition, so you go in with better odds to win than roulette enthusiasts.
Like Austin Powers, I like to live dangerously. I also like to buck trends and pick one side when they are 'due' to bounce back. Therefore, I'll be going with tails. No way can tails fail for the 10th time in 15 Super Bowls, right? Go with your gut, people — luck is allergic to me.
BetMGM also allows you to bet on which team will win the coin toss (-105 for both the Chiefs and Eagles), and many sites let you bet on whether the team that calls the coin toss will be correct (also typically -105 odds for each side). Again, these are literal coin flips, so there's no need to overthink them.
Will either team win the coin toss and win the game? (DraftKings)
| Team | Yes | No |
| Chiefs | +300 | -400 |
| Eagles | +250 | -330 |
Teams that win the coin toss are 24-32 in Super Bowl history. That includes an 0-8 mark in the past seven Super Bowls and a 3-9 mark over the past 12. Does that mean anything for Super Bowl 57? Of course not, which is why the odds are even. Still, it's fun to break out those numbers and sound smart at a party, right?
Color of liquid poured on the winning coach: (BetMGM)
- Orange +250
- Yellow/Green +350
- Clear/Water +500
- Blue +500
- Red/Pink +550
- Purple +900
- No Gatorade Poured +1600
Since 2001, the color of "liquid" poured on the winning coach has been: Orange (5), None (5), Blue (4), Clear (4), Yellow (3), Purple (1).
Blue Gatorade (or Powerade?) has been poured in each of the past two years and three of the past four, but oddsmakers clearly want to limit their liability with orange, the color of the liquid poured over Andy Reid in 2020 when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs last won it all. Orange would also be another little 'up yours' to the Bengals, the squad that provided some bulletin board material before being eliminated by Kansas City in the AFC championship.
Since I backed the Chiefs in my best bets column, I'm leaning orange. But players tend to love yellow, and clear/water is always a decent wild card. Since there's no midnight green-colored Gatorade, you might be wise to stick with blue if you're backing the Eagles.
Or, if you think the game will come down to the wire — or maybe think that Reid will instruct his players not to shower him this time around now that he's 64 — maybe the play is 'no Gatorade poured.' Three of the past four 'no Gatorade poured' Super Bowls came after Patriots victories. Good old curmudgeonly Belichick!
What will be mentioned first during the Super Bowl MVP speech? (FanDuel?)
- Team/teammates -120
- City/fans +325
- God/religion +370
- Family +690
- Coaches +1200
- Team Owner +2500
We can't currently find this novelty prop, but rumor has it that FanDuel and FanDuel Canada have both featured it and should have it back up between now and the big game. I always tend to lean 'team/teammates' for this one, as real MVPs give the credit to the players around them for collectively rallying to victory. Patrick Mahomes credited his squad when he and the Chiefs last won it all and he was named SB MVP, but if either squad's ravenous (and well-traveled) fans show up in a major way to Glendale, they could be worthy of the first shout-out. If we have a deeply religious MVP, we may be giving credit first and foremost to the Lord and Savior.
.@FanDuelCanada has some special #SuperBowlLVII markets up!
— TSN EDGE (@TSN_Edge) February 1, 2023
We asked ChatGPT to predict who the Super Bowl MVP will thank first 🤖 pic.twitter.com/23upU524fm
If you can't quite decide leading up to the game, betting a little money on each of those three options might make sense. You could still win a little if you were strategic enough about bidding and potential payouts, but if you're strictly picking the most likely option for a party prop contest, team/teammates seems like the way to go.
