An old-school rivalry will be renewed on Sunday in Week 5 when the Ravens visit Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers. While these teams have met in the past with plenty on the line, this time represents a couple of teams in transition. The Ravens are hoping that their makeover on offense is enough to catapult them back into Super Bowl-contending territory, while the Steelers might want to hit the reset button on a team that looked so promising in preseason.
That preseason fantasy quickly gave way to regular season reality as Pittsburgh is left with more questions than answers. Uncertainty isn't always a great thing in the world, but that often opens up some opportunities in the betting market. We'll look to our friends at SuperDraft to provide us with some chances to profit in the player prop market.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. If all four of the props below hit, users will win 10x their entry. In other words, a $20 entry fee will yield a $200 payout. the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite SuperDraft player props for the Sunday afternoon clash between the Ravens and Steelers. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all three picks come through.
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Best Ravens-Steelers prop bets: SuperDraft player prop picks for Week 5
*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks
1. Zay Flowers, WR, Ravens — OVER 44.5 receiving yards
The Ravens might be getting healthier as time ticks on, but it appears no one has caught up to the Flowers' growing hype yet. Quickly becoming Lamar Jackson's favorite target not named Mark Andrews, Flowers has a substantial lead in the target department with 29 on the season. Andrews comes in second at 18, although he has played one less game. Still, the rookie is averaging 61 yards per game and gets a Steelers defense that was shredded by the Texans's passing attack in Week 4. Expect a big game out of the Ravens' clear WR1 even if Odell Beckham Jr. (ankle) and Rashod Bateman (hamstring) are back as expected.
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2. Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens — OVER 47.5 rushing yards
If there's one thing about Jackson that we've seen this year, it's his willingness to avoid running as much. The effort to protect the health of the former league MVP is obvious in Baltimore, as Jackson's rushing attempts per game have dropped from 6.8 last year to 5.4 this year. That would seem to add up to a play on the UNDER here, but it's just the opposite. Jackson's game logs have been telling as the star quarterback likes to run when the games are close. In two blowouts, Weeks 1 and 4, Jackson rushed a total of 15 times for 65 yards. In two close games, he ran 26 times for 155 yards. We don't think this game is a blowout, and the Ravens' signal caller will want to use his legs in an effort to carry the purple team to victory.
3. Justin Tucker, K, Ravens — UNDER 6.5 kicking points
For one of the best kickers in the sport, it might seem like a mystery as to why we have an UNDER listed next to Tucker's name. Yet in the world of kicking props, a field goal is worth three and an extra point is worth one. It's a number that Tucker has only gone over once in four tries this season. Coincidentally, that only instance came in a game where the kicker hit two field goals. That means we likely need traditional attempts, not extra points. The Steelers defense allowed the Texans to get whatever they wanted last week. We expect the Ravens to make their rivals pay for their generosity in Week 5.
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4. Najee Harris, RB, Steelers — UNDER 51.5 rushing yards
Harris was outsnapped by fellow running back Jaylen Warren in Week 4, continuing the trend of an apparent changing of the guard. The former Alabama running back will still get his opportunities, but those aren't coming as often as we'd like to warrant taking the OVER. Granted, he's gone over in two straight, but the Steelers are in need of a change in philosophy on offense and Mike Tomlin is on a hunt to right the ship. That could include letting Warren play even more since his work in the receiving game has been one of the lone positives for Pittsburgh. Harris often looks like he's running in quicksand this season, and the uncertainty surrounding the Steelers' offense has us leaning to the UNDER in a game we think the Ravens ultimately win.
