Join us as we serve up choice Week 9 NFL picks to spot in point spread betting markets. We’ve got you covered for several standout games that feature on the week’s NFL betting slate.
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Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5)
- Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
- Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
- TV Broadcast: Fox
- Opening NFL Odds: Eagles -4.5 / 41.5
One team is improving while the other team is falling apart (no prizes for guessing which one is which). Therefore, it’s no surprise the NFL line is on the move for this matchup and it’s trending in favor of the improving Eagles.
The Eagles flew the coop in Buffalo with a 31-13 win that showed NFL bettors why they shouldn’t write off Philly just yet. By contrast, the Bears fritted away an almost sure ‘W’, prompting critics to focus most of the attention on what Matt Nagy didn’t do rather than the wayward field goal kick that sailed gaily past the posts to confirm the ‘L’ in the losing column.
MORE WEEK 9 PICKS: Against the spread | Straight-up
The issues with Chicago are across the board, from Mitch Trubisky and his bottom-five-quarterback-level of play, to kickers misfiring, special teams faltering and the defense fizzling. That’s the ‘Why’ answered essentially. Why Nagy decided to take the knee instead of inching the offense closer to the posts for a shorter field goal attempt.
But it’s this very same negativity towards the abilities contained within his squad and lack of faith that is most palpable where NFL picks for this game are concerned. If Nagy has little faith in the Bears, how is the NFL betting public to have it.
NFL pick: Eagles -4.5 (-107)
Tennessee Titans vs. Carolina Panthers (-4.5)
- Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, 1 p.m. ET
- Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
- TV Broadcast: CBS
- Opening NFL Odds: Panthers -3.5 / 41
Most markets originally opened the Panthers as -3.5 home favorites for their matchup with the Titans in week 9 … before the dismantling by San Francisco 49ers on Sunday happened. Yet, the NFL line on this game is trending upwards in favor of the Panthers with most moving the spread from Panthers at -3.5 to -4 almost unanimously.
Clearly, losing to a respectable team is more acceptable than winning under controversial circumstances over a suspect team is. The Titans beat the Bucs in week 8, but the 27-23 win featured some controversy, namely a whistled down scoop-and carry play that might/would have put the Bucs in the ascendency.
If you like Kyle Allen and what he brings to the table the best bet is to get down with the Panthers before this NFL line creeps higher. Given how well the young quarterback has played up to week 8, this is the perfect bounce back game for him against a very beatable Tampa Bay.
NFL pick: Panthers -4.5 (-105)
Detroit Lions (+2) vs. Oakland Raiders
- Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, 4:05 p.m. ET
- RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland
- TV Broadcast: Fox
- Opening NFL Odds: Raiders -1 / 50.5
Matthew Stafford is having a great season statistically even though the Detroit Lions are just 3-3-1 SU on the season. He has 16 TDs to 4 INTs and 2,093 passing yards and a 70.6 QBR. Derek Carr, meanwhile, strikes a modest pose with 11 TDs and 4 INTs and 1,695 passing yards and a 57.5 QBR.
Why is the quarterback comparison relevant here, you may be wondering? Well, because it might be the only difference to tip the scale towards the Lions in an otherwise relatively balanced matchup that is reflected by a rather tight NFL betting line.
Matthew Stafford is playing like a top-five quarterback right now and with a better defense behind him, the Lions as the road pups to pull off the upset does hold appeal.
NFL pick: Lions +2 (-105)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Seattle Seahawks (-6)
- Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, 4:05 p.m. ET
- CenturyLink Field, Seattle
- TV Broadcast: Fox
- Opening NFL Odds: Seahawks -6 / 53
Sportsbooks opened the Seahawks at -6 but following Sunday’s round of NFL action most markets moved the line to Seahawks -6.5. And for good reason.
Seattle are coming off a 27-20 win over the Matt Schaub-inspired Atlanta Falcons. The win was closer than most would have expected, but the Seahawks came to the good nonetheless and covered as the -6 road underdogs.
Bruce Arians was frustrated after his Bucs suffered a 27-23 loss to the Titans, but he continues to believe in Jameis Winston. Wonder if that firm belief continues when the Bucs descend on CenturyLink field to take on Russell Wilson, who is playing at an MVP level. Wonder if Winston still believes never mind.
The Seahawks haven’t exactly been blowing the competition out of the water but they’re a confident 6-2 SU on the season. Seahawks should come through with the home win and, potentially cover at the expense of the Bucs, who are fast becoming irrelevant behind a three-game losing streak.
Seahawks -6 is still available at several sportsbooks, but don’t wait too long to grab it if you fancy the hosts. It’s possible this line will heat up and rise to -7 by kick off.
NFL pick: Seahawks -6 (-105)
New England Patriots (-3.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET
- AT&T Stadium, Baltimore
- TV Broadcast: NBC
- Opening NFL Odds: Patriots -4.5 / 45
Sportsbooks originally tipped the Patriots at -4.5 against the Baltimore Ravens, their lowest point spread this season, before New England clinched their eighth consecutive win of the season behind a 27-13 victory over the Cleveland Browns.
Interestingly, the NFL line is on the move for this AFC showdown since markets reopened but it’s trending against the Patriots. There’s quite a few NFL experts floating the idea this game might serve up the first upset of the season for the Patriots.
At face value, this does appear to be the toughest team the Patriots are set to face in 2019. The possibility of the upset by the 5-2 SU Ravens is reasonable as such especially with home advantage.
But when considering how well the Patriots defense is playing, is it really that reasonable? Lamar Jackson isn’t the most accurate passer and his penchant to run are two things that could play right into the hands of the Patriots defense.
All told, this is a game the Patriots will want to win and in a big way, if only to silence the speculation about the legitimacy of their winning record this season, which is made up of wins over lesser opponents. (Who isn’t against the six-time Super Bowl champions though?)
So, when the Patriots are being short-changed on the NFL odds board at just -3.5 road faves, it’s a bargain too good to ignore.
NFL pick: Patriots -3.5 (+100)