We're less than 50 days away from the start of the NFL season, which is a perfect time for SuperDraft to announce its newest update! SuperDraft now offers NFL Fantasy Player Props, giving users a chance to pick the over/under on their favorite players' regular season stat totals for the 2023 NFL season.
For those unfamiliar with SuperDraft, users choose at least two of their favorite props together in a player prop parlay, and if both legs hit, users win 3x of the amount wagered. The more legs users add to their player prop parlay, the larger their potential payout becomes if all goes to plan. We've sifted through the available player prop offerings for tight ends, pinpointing the QB props we feel yield the most bang for your buck.
Below, we'll break down our favorite season-long QB props on SuperDraft. Users don't necessarily have to parlay each of our picks together, as the long odds indicate that going a perfect six-for-six will be a tall task. Instead, you could make several shorter-legged parlays to increase your win probability.
Best season-long NFL player props: SuperDraft QB passing yards, passing TDs over/under, and rushing TDs over/under
Justin Fields, QB, Bears - OVER 18.5 passing TDs
Fields was one of the more exciting quarterbacks in the NFL last season, as he became must-watch TV every Sunday. The young quarterback completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 2,242 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Fields was also a force to be reckoned with on the ground, amassing 1,140 yards and eight touchdowns.
Heading into his third season with Chicago, we expect Fields to continue to improve as a passer after Chicago acquired standout wide receiver D.J. Moore from the Panthers in the offseason. Moore gives Fields a bona fide No. 1 receiver to pair alongside Darnell Mooney, Chase Claypool, Cole Kmet, and Robert Tonyan. If the former Ohio State star can stay healthy behind an improved offensive line, he should be able to crush the OVER on his passing TDs. In his first season with OC Luke Getsy, Fields had a 5.3-percent TD percentage, which is noticeably higher than his rookie season under former head coach Matt Nagy. The dual-threat quarterback also had more RPO plays (90) incorporated into the offense last season and almost doubled up his play-action pass attempts (83) from his rookie season (48).
Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens - OVER 24 passing TDs
With the hiring of Todd Monken to replace Greg Roman as offensive coordinator, Jackson should have a good season throwing the football. Last season, Jackson missed five games due to injury, which limited him to 17 TD passes. It was the second-straight year that the former league MVP had 17 TD passes and only played in 12 games.
If Jackson can stay healthy and plays at least 15 games, he should be able to go OVER 24 passing TDs. The Ravens added more weapons to the receiver room this season, signing Odell Beckham Jr. and drafting rookie Zay Flowers. Beckham Jr. and Flowers will be excellent additions to Rashod Bateman and Devin Duvernay, who had their good moments last season. Also, do not forget about the tight end room, which features Mark Andrews, who has been Jackson's most reliable target, and Isaiah Likely, who has the versatility to be an inline tight or flexed-out wide. In his first two years as Baltimore's starting QB, Jackson went OVER 24 TD passes twice and played 15 games.
Geno Smith, QB, Seahawks - OVER 3,850.5 passing yards
Smith was one of the best surprise stories in the NFL, as he proved to the football world that he still is a starting, playoff-caliber QB. He completed 69.8 percent of his passes for 4,282 yards, 30 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Smith also averaged 251.9 yards per game (10th) and was tied with Joe Burrow for fifth in passing attempts that traveled 30-plus yards (21).
It wouldn't be a surprise to see Smith have similar numbers this upcoming season after the Seahawks added Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the first round of the 2023 NFL draft. Many draft experts viewed JSN as the best wide receiver in the class, so pairing him with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett should help Smith top 3,850.5 yards without any problem.
Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles - OVER 725.5 rushing yards
Even though the Eagles added Rashaad Penny and D'Andre Swift in the offseason, do not expect Hurts to take a back seat in the ground attack. Hurts' ability to be a playmaker in the rushing department makes Philly tough to defeat, let alone defend. Last year, the MVP runner-up posted 760 rushing yards and a career-high 13 rushing TDs thanks to the Eagles' rugby-style QB sneak. Since becoming the full-time starting QB in 2021, Hurts has rushed for 1,544 yards.
For Hurts to go OVER 725.5 rushing yards this season, he must average 42.6 rushing yards/game. In 2022, he averaged 50.7 rushing yards per game and missed two games with an injury. Look out for Hurts to build off his MVP-caliber season in 2023 as the Eagles try to return to the Super Bowl.
Kenny Pickett, QB, Steelers - OVER 3,350.5 passing yards
We might be crazy to take the OVER on Pickett's passing yards this year after he only threw for 2,404 yards as a rookie. However, the former Pitt standout averaged 184.9 passing yards per game in 2022 and only played in 13 games. If you take that same YPG average and multiply it by 17 games, Pickett would be projected to throw for 3,144.3 yards.
Despite being a rookie, Pittsburgh wasn't shy about letting Pickett throw the ball, as he averaged 29.9 attempts per game. With defenses looking to stack the box against Najee Harris, it wouldn't be a shock to see Pickett throw the ball 30-35 times per game to a solid wide receiver unit (Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, and Allen Robinson II) and two solid pass-catching TEs (Pat Freiermuth and rookie Darnell Washington). For the Steelers to take that next step with Pickett and compete for a playoff spot, he must continue to improve as a passer.
Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals - OVER 4,425.5 passing yards
As long as the Bengals have Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Joe Mixon, Burrow will always be in the conversation to throw for 4,000 passing yards. Last season, Burrow completed 68.3 percent of his passes for 4,475 yards, 35 touchdowns, and 12 INTs. Cincinnati also did a better job of protecting Burrow, as he was sacked 10 fewer times than in 2021.
Burrow has gone OVER 4,425.5 passing yards in back-to-back seasons, and we don't see that changing as long as he is upright behind the offensive line. The Bengals could find themselves in a few shootouts this year, which is a perfect recipe for the OVER to hit.
