Best Chargers-Dolphins prop bets Week 1: Top SuperDraft parlay picks for Sunday afternoon matchup

Sloan Piva

Best Chargers-Dolphins prop bets Week 1: Top SuperDraft parlay picks for Sunday afternoon matchup image

We have a fantastic feast of football lined up for Sunday, with Chargers-Dolphins serving as one of the main entrees in the late afternoon slate (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS). Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler, and the Bolts will be looking to hold court against Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and the Fins. We already detailed our best bets for this one — now it's time for us to deliver our four favorite SuperDraft player props for this clash of AFC titans. 

For users looking to make an entry via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, we're here to guide you in the right direction. SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging.

Below, we'll break down four of our favorite SuperDraft player props for Sunday afternoon's Chargers-Dolphins game. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate multi-leg parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all three picks come through.

MORE: Join SuperDraft now and enjoy a first deposit match up to $20! Enter promo code "TSN" for a free $10 when you register!

Best Chargers-Dolphins prop bets: SuperDraft player prop picks for Sunday afternoon AFC clash

*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks

1. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins — UNDER 268.5 passing yards (4/5 confidence)

We mentioned it plenty in our betting preview for this game: Tagovailoa endured one of the worst games of his career when these teams last met in mid-December. He completed just 10-of-28 passes for 145 yards and a TD. Now he draws the Chargers in a much-anticipated Week 1 opener against a defense that's much healthier than it was last season? Bad juju for Tua.

Tua's home/road splits show a clear issue with his confidence and ability away from Hard Rock. Just take a look: 

Split W-L Cmp% Y/G INTs QBR Sacks Sk Yds
Home 15-4 67.82 204.2 9 97.9 27 197
Road 8-9 63.69 243.2 14 92.2 34 254

Now consider that Miami ranks just 20th on PFF's offensive line rankings and must now contend with not just Joey Bosa but also Khalil Mack, a pass-rushing tandem that has racked up a combined 11 Pro Bowls, three All-Pros, a DPOY, and a DROY. That kind of volatility on the other side of a suspect line doesn't exactly fill us with Fins-related confidence.

Tagovailoa failed to hit 269 passing yards five times last season, and three of those games were on the road. It's hard to bet against someone with Tua's upside, we get it, but with a banged-up running back corps and an unreliable o-line, we're happy to take that leap. Bet the UNDER and enjoy a big Sunday evening W.

MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS & FANTASY PROPS: How to play SuperDraft

2. Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins — UNDER 86.5 receiving yards (4/5 confidence)

We're lumping Tua's UNDER with Hill's because their success tends to go hand-in-hand. When these teams last met, Hill broke away for a 60-yard catch-and-run into the end zone and recovered a fumble in the end zone for a second score. So, if we're defensive coordinator Derrick Ansley, we're spending a ton of game prep trying to figure out how to contain this guy. 

Hill's biggest weapons, of course, are his legs and his downfield receiving chops. If Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack have their way on the front lines, Tua won't have enough time to find Hill blazing down the field. We're confident with the UNDER here, especially with Bolts' stud defensive backs J.C. Jackson, Asante Samuel Jr., and Derwin James all healthy. 

MORE: Join SuperDraft now and enjoy a first deposit match up to $20! Enter promo code "TSN" for a free $10 when you register!

3. Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers — OVER 293.5 passing yards (3.5/5 confidence)

Herbert historically gets off to hot starts each season, averaging 321.5 passing yards per game in his first two contests of each season since he entered the league in 2020. His career per-game average across September: 313.5 yards. So, we expect at least a 300-yard performance from the 25-year-old this Sunday afternoon. 

The Dolphins added stud cornerback Jalen Ramsey in the offseason and immediately entered the discussion of "best cornerback tandem in the NFL." However, Ramsey (knee) is starting the season on IR, and it's unlikely to be completely fixed in Week 1 against an elite offense. Miami allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game last season and the third-most passing yards per away game. Herbert's going to get his. 

MORE CHARGERS-DOLPHINS: Betting preview and best bets

4. Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers — OVER 35.5 receiving yards (3/5 confidence)

Of course, if Herbert does get into any trouble with tight outside coverage, he will have stud pass-catching back Ekeler to turn to in the short-passing and screen games. Ek has become one of the best dual-purpose RBs in the game not named Christian McCaffrey, and he exceeded 35.5 receiving yards a whopping 12 times last season. 

One of those times was against Miami, who let him catch all eight of his targets for 59 yards last December. And wouldn't you know, the Dolphins ranked among the bottom eight in the league in both catches (93) and receiving yards (700) surrendered to running backs. Ekeler feasts, the Chargers win, and we close out Sunday afternoon with big, chili-cheese smiles on our faces. 

Use promo code 'sloanp' after depositing to get an additional $20 in free bets! It's a no-brainer, just like Tua's under and Ekeler's over!

Sloan Piva

Sloan Piva Photo

Sloan Piva is a content producer for The Sporting News, primarily focused on betting, fantasy sports, and poker. A lifelong New Englander, Sloan earned his BA and MA in Journalism from the University of Massachusetts and now lives in coastal Rhode Island with his wife and two kids.