Best Buccaneers-Bills prop bets today: Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield among top Week 8 TNF parlay picks

Vinnie Iyer

Best Buccaneers-Bills prop bets today: Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield among top Week 8 TNF parlay picks image

The Buccaneers and Bills will kick off Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season in Buffalo on "Thursday Night Football" (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime). As always, TNF brings us several good props to consider on SuperDraft, especially with some similarly talented running backs and wide receivers on the field.

It's easy to get in on the action. If you successfully hit on two player props, you get 3x return. That exponentially grows all the way to 100x return for parlaying eight correct picks together at much longer odds. In other words, if you put down a $20 entry fee on our four props below and they all hit, you get paid $200. 

Whether you're going with a two-legged parlay or stringing together three-plus props, here are our four favorite SuperDraft plays for the interconference matchup between Tampa Bay and Buffalo:

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Best Buccaneers-Bills prop bets: SuperDraft player prop picks for Week 8 TNF

*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks

1. Josh Allen, Bills — OVER 23.5 rushing yards

The Buccaneers haven't given up many rushing yards to quarterbacks, but two of the three mobile guys they faced, Jalen Hurts and Desmond Ridder, hit this number. Justin Fields would have had the Bears let him run in that game. This is a pretty low ask for Allen against a team that typically stops the traditional running game well. He should feel more pressure to carry his team after the Patriots' loss, and this will be part of that plan.

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2. Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers — OVER 21.5 completions

Both Tyrod Taylor and Mac Jones cleared this number in the past two games against the Bills, whose pass defense on the outside has been weakened. Mike Evans and Rachaad White can be active and effective at different levels. The Bills are especially vulnerable against backs in coverage, so in a negative game script, Mayfield should have the volume necessary to hit the OVER.

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3. Gabe Davis, WR, Bills — OVER 42.5 receiving yards

Davis has been quiet in the past two games, as the entire offense has struggled more than usual to push the ball downfield. The Bucs' defense tends to give up field-stretching plays to wideouts of all sizes. Davis should be greased as a squeaky wheel on several intermediate-to-deep targets and can hit this number on just one play.

4. James Cook, RB, Bills — UNDER 50.5 rushing yards

Over the past four weeks, Cook's high has been 71 rushing yards. The Bucs allowed 130 yards rushing to D'Andre Swift, but every other back they've seen has failed to hit 60 yards. The Bills also are working in Latavius Murray enough without Damien Harris (neck), and this is correlated to the Allen rushing OVER. Nothing really has to give here to make this happen.

Vinnie Iyer

Vinnie Iyer Photo

Vinnie Iyer, has been with TSN since 1999, not long after graduating from Northwestern University’s Medill School of Journalism. He has produced NFL content for more than 20 years, turning his attention to full-time writing in 2007. A native of St. Louis, Mo. but now a long-time resident of Charlotte, N.C. Vinnie’s top two professional sports teams are Cardinals and Blues, but he also carries purple pride for all things Northwestern Wildcats. He covers every aspect of the NFL for TSN including player evaluations, gambling and fantasy football, where he is a key contributor. Vinnie represents TSN as host of the “Locked On Fantasy Football” podcast on the Locked On network. Over his many years at TSN, he’s also written about MLB, NBA, NASCAR, college football, tennis, horse racing, film and television. His can’t-miss program remains “Jeopardy!”, where he was once a three-day champion and he is still avid about crossword puzzles and trivia games. When not watching sports or his favorite game show, Vinnie is probably watching a DC, Marvel or Star Wars-related TV or movie.