Best Broncos-Chiefs prop bets today: Isiah Pacheco, Russell Wilson among top Week 6 TNF parlay picks

Vinnie Iyer

Best Broncos-Chiefs prop bets today: Isiah Pacheco, Russell Wilson among top Week 6 TNF parlay picks image

The Broncos and Chiefs will kick off Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season in Kansas City on "Thursday Night Football" (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime). As always, TNF brings us several interesting player props to consider on SuperDraft, especially with an elite Chiefs offense going up against a historically terrible Broncos defense.

It's easy to get in on the action. If you successfully hit on two player props, you get 3x return. That exponentially grows all the way to 100x return for parlaying eight correct picks together at much longer odds. In other words, if you put down a $20 entry fee on our four props below and they all hit, you get paid $200. 

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Whether you're going with a two-legged parlay or stringing together three-plus props, here are our four favorite SuperDraft plays for the seemingly somewhat lopsided matchup between Denver and Kansas City:

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Best Broncos-Chiefs prop bets: SuperDraft player prop picks for Week 6 TNF

*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks

1. Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs — OVER 74.5 rushing yards

The Broncos are by far the worst run defense in the NFL this season, and one of the worst all time. They're giving up more than 187 yards per game on average, appropriate because they've been murdered on the ground. They give it up to power rushers; they give it up to speed backs; and they give up long runs. Pacheco can do all of that, and Andy Reid will be well aware his team can dominate with balance. Pacheco, who's averaging 65 yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry, might get this on one long run to the house. This is just asking him to get 40 percent of what the Broncos usually give up.

2. Russell Wilson, QB, Broncos — OVER 20.5 rushing yards

The Chiefs have faced a couple of mobile QBs so far. Nope, not Jared Goff and Kirk Cousins, but Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence. Fields got to 47 yards and Lawrence rumbled for 26 in losses to Kansas City. On just two scrambles, Zach Wilson hit 14 yards in Week 4 and could have had more.

Wilson has been boom or bust here. He had 49 rushing yards in Week 5 vs. the Jets and 56 in Week 2 vs. the Commanders. Otherwise, he's been non-existent in this aspect. He hit 27 and 57 yards, respectively, against the Chiefs in two matchups late last season, so the history is also there for getting at least 21 this time.

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3. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs — OVER 274.5 passing yards

Denver has the worst total defense overall in the NFL, giving up on average more than 450 yards per game. Even if Pacheco goes off with his second century of the season in the best possible rushing matchup, then there will be plenty left for Mahomes as he flexes with some big plays all over the field away from top cornerback Pat Surtain II. He easily ripped past 300 yards in his two Broncos games in 2022, and he's averaged 269 yards per game while going 11-0 vs. Denver. It isn't much of a stretch to shoot past that average by six yards this time around.

4. Skyy Moore, WR, Chiefs  — OVER 27.5 receiving yards

Moore has the best matchup here working the slot, and although he disappeared against the Vikings and Jets, he can get back to the necessary limited impact he had with big catches against the Bears and Jaguars. Kadarius Toney, Rashee Rice, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling will get their perimeter downfield shots when not covered by Surtain, but Moore can get it done here with just three receptions and some work after the catch in the open field.

Vinnie Iyer

Vinnie Iyer Photo

Vinnie Iyer, has been with TSN since 1999, not long after graduating from Northwestern University’s Medill School of Journalism. He has produced NFL content for more than 20 years, turning his attention to full-time writing in 2007. A native of St. Louis, Mo. but now a long-time resident of Charlotte, N.C. Vinnie’s top two professional sports teams are Cardinals and Blues, but he also carries purple pride for all things Northwestern Wildcats. He covers every aspect of the NFL for TSN including player evaluations, gambling and fantasy football, where he is a key contributor. Vinnie represents TSN as host of the “Locked On Fantasy Football” podcast on the Locked On network. Over his many years at TSN, he’s also written about MLB, NBA, NASCAR, college football, tennis, horse racing, film and television. His can’t-miss program remains “Jeopardy!”, where he was once a three-day champion and he is still avid about crossword puzzles and trivia games. When not watching sports or his favorite game show, Vinnie is probably watching a DC, Marvel or Star Wars-related TV or movie.