In a rematch of the 2022 AFC championship, the top-seeded Chiefs once again host familiar foe Joe Burrow and the third-seeded Bengals on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET (CBS). We have covered this game extensively with a betting preview, DraftKings lineup, FanDuel lineup, and prop bets. Now, we will make a Same Game Parlay comprised of all our favorite bets, game props, and player props for this epic conference title matchup.
Which of these AFC powerhouses will advance to the big dance? Recent history suggests that Burrow should be considered the one to beat after leading Cincinnati to the Super Bowl last season and beating the Chiefs three times in the past 13 months. However, Mahomes put together one of the best campaigns of his NFL career this season, and we have seen him dominate despite high-ankle sprains in the past.
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Both teams enjoy difference-makers on each side of the ball, and both QBs seem to play their best football when the pressure is at its highest. We can't possibly blame you if you stay away from this game from a traditional betting perspective, but a Same Game Parlay — or SGP — will allow us to make a low-risk, high-reward parlay comprised of interesting and valuable picks and props.
Let's unveil our favorite SGP and briefly explain what made us choose each leg. Good luck and have fun!
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Bengals-Chiefs Same Game Parlay: Best props for AFC championship game
Same Game Parlay assembled at Caesars Sportsbook.
| Player/Team | Prop | Odds |
| Bengals | Moneyline | +100 |
| Joe Burrow | UNDER 37.5 pass attempts | +100 |
| Joe Mixon | OVER 14.5 rushing attempts | -106 |
| Travis Kelce | Anytime TD scorer | -122 |
| Tee Higgins | UNDER 58.5 receiving yards | +100 |
Total Odds (5 legs): +1500 | Bet: $50 | To win: $750 | Payout: $800
Bengals' moneyline (+100)
As I pointed out in my piece about this game's spread changing so rapidly early in the week, the Bengals are currently -110 on most sportsbooks' moneylines and/or -1 on most spreads right now. Despite opening as road underdogs, Cincy flipped the betting switch amid speculation over Mahomes' ankle combined with the betting public's affinity for Burrow and his ridiculous spread-covering ways. Joey Brr has helped the Bengals cover in 21 of his past 26 starts, an absurd 80-plus percent cover rate in that span. But why bother with the +1 spread at -110 when we can get the straight moneyline win at +100? This is a textbook example of why looks can be deceiving to the casual bettor. To win a game, you need at least one point more than your opponent! Bet the Bengals' moneyline and you'll profit from their win much more than if you bet their spread. Burrow and his litany of offensive weapons have given us no reason to turn away from them now.
NOTE: Some Caesars parlays did not allow us to include the moneyline. If that's the case, just bet the +100 moneyline separately and play the 4-leg SGP at +1100.
MORE BENGALS-CHIEFS:
Betting preview | Best props | DK lineup | FD lineup | Why is Cincy favored?
Joe Burrow total passing attempts UNDER 37.5 (+100)
It's hard to imagine Burrow needing to throw the ball 38 or more times in this game. During Cincy's 10-game winning streak, he has attempted 37 or fewer passes six times. Burrow has also tossed 37 or fewer passes in five of Burrow's six career playoff games, and the one time he exceeded that number, it was by just one pass. Kansas City's secondary has surrendered plenty of big downfield plays this season, and Zac Taylor will likely run the ball to chew up clock if the Bengals get out to a lead. Pound the UNDER here.
Joe Mixon total rushing attempts OVER 14.5 (-106)
This plays right into what we were just talking about with eating up the clock. Mixon looked superb last week in Buffalo, rushing the ball 20 times for 105 yards and a TD. He also averaged 16.8 carries in Cincinnati's 2022 postseason run despite matchups against the Titans, Chiefs, and of course the Rams. Chris Jones and KC's front-seven are not the easiest squad to run on, but the Bengals will still pound Mixon early and often to keep the pressure off Burrow and open up the field. This feels like great value.
Travis Kelce to score a TD (-122)
Admittedly, we have been all over all of the Kelce TD props we can get our hands on. The All-Pro tight end has made us a ton of money since the 2022 NFL season kicked off, and we can't imagine backing away from him now. Even if Mahomes is hindered — or worse, Chad Henne must come in and replace him — Kelce will eat like Ezekiel Elliott in a soup commercial. The man scored the second-most receiving TDs this season (12) and is coming off a career game in which he bludgeoned Jacksonville for 14 catches, 98 yards, and two TDs. He has found the end zone in four straight postseason games and seven of the past eight. The question is not if he will score, but when.
Tee Higgins UNDER 58.5 receiving yards (+100)
This prop at +100 seems too good to be true. Higgins has not exceeded 37 receiving yards in a game since Week 12, the last game Ja'Marr Chase missed with a hip injury. Higgins' 64.3 yards per game average during the regular season makes the OVER look like a smash play at -137, but dive deeper and you'll see he averaged 55.6 yards per game when Chase was active and 44.6 yards per game over his past six starts. Plus odds for the win!
