Sharp Football Analysis' Warren Sharp projects the Atlanta Falcons to have the easiest schedule in the NFL in 2024. For reference, Sharp projected the Falcons to have the easiest schedule last season, and they ended up with the second-easiest.
That does not mean the Falcons took advantage of that fact. The Falcons massively underachieved with the talent on their roster last season. They ended with a third-straight 7-10 record despite the massive improvement on defense (23rd in points allowed & 27th in yards allowed to 18th in points allowed & 11th in yards allowed).
According to the Vegas odds, the Falcons are projected to win 9.8 games this season, enough to be the favorite in the NFC South (Tampa Bay - 8.15, New Orleans - 7.6, Carolina - 4.75) heading into the offseason.
According to the numbers, the Falcons should have no problem winning this division with the overhaul of talent on the roster and shift in philosophy due to the head coach change. All Atlanta has to do is execute and they should reach the dance for the first time since 2017.