Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is wrongly scrutinized by a small vocal minority for being a career loser. Fans, analysts, and media members with two minutes of spare time and a search engine know the record does not reflect the player.
Another statistic just popped up, this time focusing on "high stakes" games and quarterback Expected Points Added (EPA) per Dropback since 2018. The sample was pulled from playoff games and late-season intraconference games.
The number one quarterback, no surprise, was Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The second quarterback? Herbert.
Hard to identify the exact criteria but "high stakes" games but here I used playoff games + late season intraconference games offer a proxy for that.
— MIBPJ (@mibpj2) August 8, 2024
Results = expected pic.twitter.com/5vFaUH8rim
The top five quarterbacks in EPA/Dropback were Mahomes, Herbert, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Dak Prescott. The bottom five were Tua Tagovailoa, Ben Roethlisberger, Andy Dalton, Sam Darnold, and Kyler Murray.
If Chargers fans look a little closer, they'll see another familiar name at seventh-best EPA/Dropback since 2018: Philip Rivers.
Herbert will continue to be dragged through online discourse for a clickbait narrative not rooted in any relevant statistics. Feel free to show them this graph next time.