AccuScore’s college basketball pick of the day – Syracuse at Duke

Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore

AccuScore’s college basketball pick of the day – Syracuse at Duke image

As Duke works to cement itself as a No. 1 seed for the NCAA Tournament, Syracuse has a chance to put an end to the Blue Devils’ ACC title hopes with a win at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday (7 p.m. ET, ESPN). 

Line: Duke -12, Total: 146.5 (check The Linemakers on Sporting News’ odds page for current point spreads and totals).

With an average score after 10,000-plus simulations of Duke 79-Syracuse 64, there's about a 57 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 146.5, a 1-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. 

This season, when the simulated total has differed by 4.5 points or more from the posted total in Las Vegas, AccuScore has gone 331-294 (53 percent, +760 units).

AccuScore best bet: There's about a 58 percent chance Duke covers a -12 spread, another 1-star AccuScore hot trend. 

When picking a home team favored by 12-15.5 points, AccuScore is 156-131 (54.4 percent, +1190 units) this season.

Supporting trends: Duke is 5-0 SU in its last five home games….Syracuse is 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games on the road.
 
Projected Leaders
Rakeem Christmas: 15 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal, 3 TOs
Jahlil Okafor: 19 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 3 TOs

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Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore