Iowa State at Kansas
4 p.m. ET, ESPN
Line: Kansas -9.5 Total: 159
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Trends: ISU 21-9 SU, 13-13 ATS, 12-14-1 O/U. Kansas 26-4 SU, 19-9 ATS, 9-18-1 O/U.
KenPom efficiency ratings: ISU 20 (overall), 2 (offense), 111 (defense). Kansas 1, 6, 5
Effective FG percentage: ISU 57.0, Kansas 55.8 EFG% against: ISU 49.4, Kansas 45.1
Pick: Iowa State has covered four of the last five meetings in this series, including an 85-72 win as 1-point home favorites in late January. About 66 percent of spread bets are coming in on Kansas in this game.
Kansas has been on an absolute roll, though, covering in nine of its last 10 games. The UNDER has gone 7-2-1 in those games, as well. Iowa State has been streaky on the total, going UNDER in its last two after five straight OVERs. Before that, seven Cyclones games had gone UNDER.
Iowa State has been competitive in this series, so we'll back the Cyclones getting just a point or two too many.
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