Oregon vs. Duke
Thursday, 10:05 p.m. ET, TBS
Line: Oregon -3 Total: 157
MORE: College hoops live odds | ATS standings
Trends: Oregon 30-6 SU, 19-13-1 ATS, 13-19 O/U. Duke 25-10 SU, 14-18-2 ATS, 15-19 O/U.
KenPom efficiency ratings: Oregon 12 (overall), 11 (offense), 43 (defense). Duke 19, 4, 109
Effective FG percentage: Oregon 52.4, Duke 53.8 EFG% against: Oregon 48.6, Duke 49.3
What's to like about Oregon — You, like me, probably haven't watched Oregon much this season. So here's what you need to know. The Ducks are a matchup nightmare, with five players who can beat you in pretty much anyway. Oregon can match Duke's athleticism. The only thing it doesn't do particularly well is rebound on the defensive end.
What's not to like about Oregon — Dana Altman has won more than 500 games and made 11 tournament appearances in 26 seasons as a college coach, yet has only reached the Sweet 16 once, and never gotten past it. This is probably the best team he's had, but it's gotten to the point where it's not a stretch to be concerned.
What's to like about Duke — Excellent guard play. Grayson Allen and Luke Kennard, along with the impossibly long and versatile Brandon Ingram, make up a backcourt that can score from anywhere and doesn't turn the ball over.
What's not to like about Duke — Lack of depth. The Blue Devils nearly coughed up a massive lead against Yale and couldn't put away UNCW despite getting to the line 43 times. Outside of Marshall Plumlee, they don't have a banger on the glass, either.
Analysis: Oregon is a matchup nightmare and outlasted St. Joe's despite a terrible shooting performance. If you missed out on the Ducks at -1 or -1.5, -3 may be too many, but that's the way we'll lean.
Sweet 16 picks: UVA-ISU | UNC-IU | Wisc-ND | Miami-Nova | KU-Mary
MORE: College basketball live scoreboard
Want to win a free entry to the world’s biggest sports betting contest? This March, Gamblino is giving you a shot in their latest SuperContest Satellite Series event. Join today!