Big 12 Tournament betting preview, picks — Long shot worth taking?

Steve Petrella

Big 12 Tournament betting preview, picks — Long shot worth taking? image

Kansas has won 12 straight Big 12 regular season titles, but it's another team that has been king in the conference's postseason tournament recently.

Iowa State is seeking its third straight Big 12 Tournament championship, and sits at 8-to-1 win it. The Cyclones at 8-to-1 are the fourth betting choice behind Kansas, Oklahoma and West Virginia.

MORE: Full Big 12 tournament bracket, schedule

TeamRankings.com gives Kansas the best shot to win at nearly 40 percent, but West Virginia is next at 27 percent. As always, be sure to calculate the juice on your futures to make sure you're getting a fair price. Here's a primer on how to do that.

Here's all the betting information you need for the Big 12 Tournament, which starts Wednesday in Kansas City and ends Saturday.

Big 12 Tournament betting odds

Kansas 6-5
Oklahoma 7-2
West Virginia 7-2
Iowa State 8-1
Texas 12-1
Baylor 12-1
Field 40-1

More tournament previews: ACC | Big Ten

NCAA Tournament odds

Kansas 7-1
Oklahoma 12-1
West Virginia 40-1
Iowa State 50-1
Texas 80-1
Baylor 100-1

The format

With just 10 teams in the conference, the first six seeds receive byes to the quarterfinals. The bottom four seeds will play two de facto play-in games. Those teams are Kansas-Oklahoma State and Texas Tech-TCU.

MORE: Tubby Smith earns SN Coach of the Year

The contenders

Kansas (+120) is, as always, a serious national contender, but the Big 12 Tournament isn't where it needs to prove itself. That will come next week. Still, the Jayhawks rank second in overall efficiency and in the top 10 in both offense and defense. 

Kansas closed the season on a 9-2 ATS (11-0 SU) run, but dropped two its last three vs. the number. The UNDER went 7-3-1 in that span. The Jayhawks shouldn't have a ton of trouble getting to the final, but with the parity we've seen in this conference, Baylor or Texas could pose a problem in the semifinal, even as a sizable underdog.

West Virginia (7-2) flew a little under the radar in the Big 12, but is a real threat in this tournament. It ranks sixth in overall efficiency, first nationally in offensive rebounding and second in forced turnover rate. It also gets to the line and gives up more free throws than nearly anyone, so you know the Mountaineers will be playing aggressively. 

After losing three of four in mid February, WVU responded with a 4-0 ATS run to close the season. It will face the winner of Oklahoma-Iowa State if it gets by the winner of Texas Tech-TCU. But at nearly 4-to-1, this isn't a bad bet — the Mountaineers would be just a short dog against Kansas in the final if both teams get there.

MORE: WVU will now sell beer in basketball arena

Oklahoma (7-2) has one of the two best players in the country, but faltered down the stretch at 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS. Eight of those games went UNDER. The Sooners can shoot if nothing else, ranking second nationally in 3-point percentage. But a first-round meeting with Iowa State makes its road to winning this tournament that much tougher.

Iowa State (8-1) isn't the same team its been the last two years, and its road to winning this tournament is difficult. The Cyclones are scary good on offense, ranking second nationally, but are 111th defensively.

They went 10-8 SU and 9-9 ATS in Big 12 play and face Oklahoma in the first round.

One of Texas (12-1) and Baylor (12-1) will be gone Thursday afternoon. The two teams rank 28th and 29th respectively in overall efficiency and while Baylor's offense ranks 10th, Texas has the more balanced group. 

Opening lines

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State (-5, 127) 

OK State dropped its final six games of the season (1-5 ATS) and nine of its last 10. Eight of those games went UNDER. When these two teams met, it was a tale of two games — an 89-73 Kansas State win that soared over the total and a 58-55 Cowboys' victory at home. 

MORE: College hoops live odds page

Texas Tech (-8.5, 137) vs. TCU

Texas Tech is much improved this season and should find its way into the NCAA Tournament. This number feels pretty spot on, but the total is just a few points high — it came in at 134 for both meetings between these two this year. We'll take the UNDER. 

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Steve Petrella