2023 Final Four Best Bets: Top player props include a Jordan Miller OVER, Andre Jackson UNDER

Nick Musial

2023 Final Four Best Bets: Top player props include a Jordan Miller OVER, Andre Jackson UNDER image

Before the Final Four tips off on Saturday night, bettors will be contemplating where to allot their weekend bankroll, whether it's by betting into sides and totals or focusing more of their attention on player prop markets.

For bettors looking for the latter, we've perused the current markets available on DraftKings Sportsbook and found six props to consider for the National semifinals. 

MORE FINAL FOUR BETTING: FAU-SDSU Preview | UConn-Miami Preview

Best College Basketball Prop Bets: Final Four betting advice, picks, odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Miami G/F Jordan Miller OVER 14.5 points (-120)

Miller's versatility will need to be on display if Miami has any shot of taking down Connecticut, and we're not stomaching a bet on his UNDER 14.5-point prop. Miller's ability to create off the dribble and consistently get downhill will put pressure on the Huskies' interior defense (3.2 fouls drawn per 40 minutes), giving him a chance to attempt a high number of foul shots as he did in the Elite Eight. Miller has a chance to attempt close to 10 shots from the floor, and along with knocking in his foul shots at a high clip (77.9 percent), we think Miller scores 15-plus against UConn.

Additionally, it helps that Miller played 39 minutes in the Canes' come-from-behind win over Texas, as it's unlikely Coach Larrañaga subs him out barring foul trouble. He's also been one of the most efficient scorers this season, donning a 128 offensive rating this season (21st in D-1). Bank on another solid day at the office from the do-everything senior.

Connecticut G Andre Jackson UNDER 0.5 threes (+120)

Connecticut's point forward is an integral piece to the Huskies' hopes of winning its fifth National Championship in school history, but his three-point shooting success isn't a part of those aspirations. Jackson's offensive game isn't predicated by his floor spacing ability, as the junior wing is shooting just 28.4 percent from deep this season. We'll take our chances and wager on him to not hit a three at +120, even with FAU's defense likely sagging off him in order to help on the Huskies' other offensive weapons. Jackson's averaged 2.5 three-point attempts while shooting near his season average from three through four tournament games (three-of-10), so he's certainly capable of canning a three, but we'd rather be UNDER relative to the OVER here.

SDSU G Lamont Butler OVER 8.5 points (-125)

In the Aztecs' Elite Eight victory over Creighton, Butler was the game's most efficient offensive player (154 ORtg), connecting on eight-of-11 shot attempts while finishing with a game-high 18 points. Butler's three-level scoring ability was on display, canning both of his three-point attempts, thriving in the midrange, and getting high-percentage looks when going downhill. He didn't force things either, playing within the flow of the offense, but given he was clearly on his A-game when the rest of the Aztecs had a tough shooting night, Butler could have easily attempted 15-plus shots to carry SDSU's offense. With his point prop sitting at just 8.5 points, we think the junior guard eclipses this number in a game where he'll likely attempt 10 shots at minimum.

SDSU G Matt Bradley UNDER 12.5 points (-120) 

While we think Butler's in for another efficient shooting night, we're fading Bradley, the Aztecs' leading scorer (12.5 ppg). Bradley's shot hasn't looked right in his past three games, combining to shoot just six-of-27 from the field (22.2 percent). The shot volume is certainly there for Bradley, but at times, his shot attempts haven't even come close to falling (watch the Creighton tape). Sure, he's proven to be a tough shot-maker, but with his point total sitting around his season average, we think he fails to reach 13-plus points against a solid FAU defense that ranks top 30 in defensive efficiency per KenPom.

SDSU F Jaedon LeDee OVER 7.5 points (-130)

LeDee's looked to as one of the Aztecs' top scoring options off the bench, and while he failed to reach eight points in his most recent game against Creighton, he took the third-most shots (nine) behind guards Darrion Trammell (14) and Butler (11). At times, LeDee was matched up against two-time Big East Defensive Player of the Year Ryan Kalkbrenner, who forced him into several contested looks. However, LeDee figures to have more success against an FAU bunch who runs out a four-guard lineup, and if fellow big men Nathan Mensah or Keshad Johnson are playing alongside him, look for LeDee to rack up at least eight points in a plus matchup.

FAU C Vladislav Goldin OVER 8.5 points (-110) 

Some prop bettors might be wary of taking Goldin's OVER 8.5 points prop, but we think the 7-1 center has a better-than-expected night against what's been a sound Aztec interior defense. Goldin enters Saturday night off an impressive 14-point effort in the FAU's three-point win over Kansas State (six-of-11 FG), and he might be relied upon to hoist a high number of shot attempts if the Owls' perimeter offense is shut down by Aztec's perimeter defense.

 

Nick Musial

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Nick Musial is a Content Producer at The Sporting News. He recently joined the team after studying sport management and journalism at the University of Kansas. Nick’s an avid sports bettor who’s always looking for value.