Despite being up 2-0 in the best-of-seven series against the Rockets, the Warriors head into Game 3 of the West finals having failed to cover the spread in each of the first two matchups. The Warriors won Game 1 110-106 as 10.5-point home favorites and Game 2 99-98 as 10-point home favorites. Both games resulted in UNDERs.
Game 3 is a pick 'em at many books of 1:30 p.m. ET, with a total around 215. Check The Linemakers on Sporting News’ odds page for current spreads and totals.
The average Game 3 score after AccuScore ran its 10,000-plus simulations is Warriors 108, Rockets 104. The Warriors have a 58.8 percent chance to win the game, according to the calculations.
There's about a 56 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 215, a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. In the past week, AccuScore has gone 4-1 picking NBA totals (80 percent, +290 units).
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games.
Projected Leaders
Stephen Curry: 28 points, 11 assists, 5 rebounds, 1 steal, 6 TOs
James Harden: 29 points, 8 assists, 6 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 block, 4 TOs
The Linemakers' picks: Vegas crew has plays on side and total
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