The Cavaliers have gone undefeated in their last 12 home games. Even more impressive is an 11-1 ATS record in that span. The Suns, however, head into Cleveland having already defeated the Cavs this season, 107-100 in mid-January. That was LeBron James' first game back after a two-week absence, and the Cavs were a 4.5-point dog in that game.
Line: Cavaliers -11, Total: 212 (check The Linemakers on Sporting News’ live odds page for current NBA point spreads and totals)
With an average score after AccuScore ran its 10,000-plus simulations of 109-100, there are two four-star AccuScore hot trends for this matchup.
Best bet No. 1: There's nearly a 58 percent chance the Suns cover a +11 spread.
In the past week, AccuScore is 13-6 (68.4 percent, +640 units) when picking inter-conference games against the spread. Also, when AccuScore’s margin of victory has differed by 2-4 points from the Vegas line, as it does in this game, AccuScore has gone 12-8 (60 percent, +320 units).
Keep in mind, however, that although Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last six games, Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last five games at home.
Best Bet No. 2: There's a 55 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 212, another four-star trend.
In the past week, when AccuScore’s simulated total differs from the Vegas total by 2-4 points, AccuScore has gone 8-5 (61.5 percent, +250 units).
The total has gone UNDER six of Cleveland's last eight games, and the Cavs remain the best UNDER team in the league, at 23-40-1.
Projected Leaders
Eric Bledsoe: 16 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 4 TOs
LeBron James: 27 points, 7 assists, 7 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 block, 4 TOs
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