Central Division rivals Indiana and Detroit meet for the third time this season Wednesday night, with the Pistons coming out on top in the last two meetings. Keep an eye on Detroit's front line -- Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond have averaged a combined 33 points and 22.5 rebounds against the Pacers this season.
Line: Indiana -3 Total: 193 (check The Linemakers on Sporting News' odds page for current NBA spreads and totals).
AccuScore has the Pacers as slight 51.8 percent favorites to win. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 92.6 - 92.1, actually in favor of the Pistons. Whereas Indiana has a slightly higher probability at a close win (four points or fewer), Detroit has a higher probability of getting a big win (10 points or more).
There's about a 63 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 193. The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games at home and in four of Detroit's last five games on the road.
AccuScore best bet: There's about a 55.3 percent chance Detroit covers a +3 spread, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
In the past week, AccuScore has gone 17-8 (68 percent, +820 units) when its simulated margin of victory differs 2-4 points from the point spread in Las Vegas,. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last five games versus Indiana. Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last six games at home versus Detroit.
AccuScore box score: Detroit averages about five more offensive rebounds than Indiana does in simulations. Extra opportunities at getting points on the board is a huge variable in a matchup like this.
Projected Leaders
Greg Monroe: 14 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, 2 TOs
David West: 12 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 TOs
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