AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the NBA season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas sports books' money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread or going OVER or UNDER the posted total, it’s a recommended play.
Following a win as 3.5-point underdogs at home against the Thunder on Tuesday night, the Pelicans head to the Bay Area to face a Warriors team that's seemingly just as good on defense as it is on offense (10:35 p.m. ET, TNT).
The Warriors won all three games against the Pelicans last year – Thursday night should be no different.
While AccuScore has the Warriors as solid 70.4 percent favorites to win, though, their -415 money-line odds imply about an 80 percent chance to win. Also, New Orleans has just a 51.3 percent chance of covering as 8-point underdogs. AccuScore’s preferred play on this game is on the total.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 104-97, and AccuScore gives this game a nearly a 59.4 percent chance to stay UNDER the posted total of 206.5, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
Projected Leaders
Anthony Davis: 22 points, 10 rebounds, 2 blocks, 2 steals, 2 TOs
Stephen Curry: 21 points (3-7 3PM), 8 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals, 3 TOs
What to Watch for: The Warriors have the best field-goal percentage against in the league, holding opponents to 41 percent shooting from the field. The Pelicans are projected to shoot 44 percent Thursday night.
More NBA betting info: Live odds | NO-GSW matchup analysis | CLE at NYK | IND at POR
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