AccuScore NBA Pick of the Day – Nets at Cavaliers

Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore

AccuScore NBA Pick of the Day – Nets at Cavaliers image

AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the basketball season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread, it’s a recommended play.

Cleveland’s six-game home winning streak was snapped Wednesday night with a 127-98 loss to the Hawks. The Cavaliers look to bounce back Friday night when they host the Nets. 

The Cavs are listed as 12-point favorites, with a total of 197.5, around Las Vegas.  Check our odds page for  updated NBA point spreads and totals

AccuScore has the Cavaliers as heavy 77.1 percent favorites to win, but covering the spread is a different matter.

The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 102-94, and there is a  63.1 percent chance the Nets cover as 12-point underdogs. Brooklyn is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

There is also 52.9 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 197.5, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The total has gone UNDER in eight of Brooklyn's last nine games on the road.

Keep an eye out: Cleveland outrebounded Brooklyn by 8-9 in each simulated game. The Cavs averaged about 3 more offensive boards than the Nets. 

Projected Leaders
Joe Johnson: 15 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists 
LeBron James: 24 points, 6 assists, 6 rebounds, 3 TOs

Also on Friday’s NBA sked : Thunder at Lakers | All tonight's matchups

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Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore