AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the basketball season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread, it’s a recommended play.
Despite a subpar performance, the Hawks took care of business Friday night against the Magic to win their ninth straight game. One day later, they travel down to Orlando for a rematch.
AccuScore has the Hawks as solid 68.6 percent favorites to win the game outright, which translates into money-line odds of about -220. While the -150 price at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook offers some value, laying a number that high is not typically an attractive proposition for most gamblers.
The better bet is on the point spread.
The Hawks have a 60.2 percent chance of covering as 3.5-point favorites, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The line has actually been adjusted to -3 at several Vegas books.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 103-96. There is a 58.1 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 193.
AccuScore Box Score: Atlanta is ranked No. 7 in the league in team points from three -pointers (28.0 ppg). Atlanta is projected to shoot 9-for-22 from beyond the arc against Orlando.
Projected Leaders
Jeff Teague: 14 points, 6 assists, 1 steal, 3 TOs
Tobias Harris: 16 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 2 TOs
Supporting Trends: Orlando is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games against Atlanta....Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last six road games against Orlando....Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last six games.
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