AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the basketball season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against sports books' money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread, it’s a recommended play.
The Clippers will look to bounce back against the Jazz on Monday following their first home loss in six weeks. Toronto dominated L.A. 110-98, blowing the lead open in the second half. Expect the Clippers to be focused and get out to an early lead against the Jazz.
AccuScore has the Clippers as heavy 89.4 percent favorites to win, a percentage that would warrant an -843 price on the money-line. Sports books are offering the Clippers at -900, so bettors would be advised to stay away from the money-line.
The total and spread offer more value.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 107-92. There is nearly a 59 percent chance Los Angeles covers an -11.5 spread. The Clippers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games when playing at home against the Jazz.
AccuScore Best Bet: There is a 57.9 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 204, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The total has gone UNDER in four of the Clippers' last five games at home.
Keep an Eye Out: Although the Clippers have 33 times the chance of the Jazz at a big win (10 points or more), keep an eye on Utah potentially keeping the game close via their rebounding. They're projected to have a slight advantage in both overall rebounds and offensive boards. The Clippers have just twice the chance of the Jazz at a close win (four points or fewer).
Projected Leaders
Gordon Hayward: 19 points, 6 assists, 5 rebounds, 1 steal, 4 TOs
Blake Griffin: 20 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals, 1 block, 2 TOs
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