The visiting Spurs will look to get their fourth straight win Tuesday night as they face a Nuggets team trying to avoid its fourth straight loss. Denver is coming off their worst defeat of the season, a 122-79 blowout at the hands of the Warriors.
AccuScore has the Spurs as 56.7 percent favorites to win, a number that should warrant a -130 money-line price. We can't recommend the money-line here though because the Spurs are being offered at a minimum of -345 at the bet window.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 101-98.
While AccuScore isn't necessarily making a pick on Denver either, with a score projected to be that close, we wouldn't be able to fault a roll of the dice on the Nuggets at +310, a price that suggests they have less than a 25 percent chance of winning. AccuScore would have priced them at +130.
The safer play is on Denver keeping the game competitive. There's about a 62.5 percent chance Denver covers a +8 spread. Additionally, there's about a 59.4 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 204.5.
AccuScore Box Score: Keep an eye on Denver's ability to force turnovers and get the ball in transition -- especially at home in the elevated altitude. Denver averaged four more steals than San Antonio in AccuScore simulations.
Projected Leaders
Kawhi Leonard: 13 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 TOs
Ty Lawson: 15 points, 8 assists, 3 rebounds, 2 steals, 2 TOs
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