Luka Doncic prop bet picks: over-under points, triple-double odds and more for Mavericks-Clippers Game 2

Luka Doncic and the Mavericks will try to even their first-round playoff series against the Clippers tonight (10 p.m. ET, ESPN, Sling). The superstar 25-year-old and MVP candidate has been known to put Dallas on his back, so we're excited to bet some of his BetMGM player props ahead of this evening's tip.

MORE: Playoff power rankings based on odds

Monday night saw odds-on MVP favorite Nikola Jokic put up an insane 27-20-10 night in the Nuggets' comeback victory over the Lakers. Doncic, a finalist for MVP along with Joker and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, will need to do something great to one-up that performance.

Let's get right into our favorite Luka Doncic BetMGM player props for Game 2 of Mavericks vs. Clippers in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. We'll rank them in order of betting value and win probability, so hopefully you can pull down some big Tuesday night wins!

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Luka Doncic stats projections: Ranking best props picks

Luka Doncic points – OVER 33.5 (-120)

Luka missed 15 of his 26 field-goal attempts in Game 1 and still scored 33 points. His elite step-back from three-point land — combined with his uncanny ability to draw fouls and hit and-ones — make him a fantastic candidate to hit his scoring OVER with the Mavs' against the ropes.

Doncic's teammates passed up open shots multiple times in the series opener, a cardinal sin in the postseason when you're playing with such an incredible playmaker. Expect the MVP candidate to bump up his total field-goal attempts on Tuesday night, and we can easily forecast some positive regression from his 42.3-percent shooting from the field.

The moment is never too big for Doncic, who has never been the problem Dallas has struggled to mount a deep postseason run. He has averaged nearly 40 points when facing elimination, so we love him to drop 34-plus tonight with the Mavs trailing 1-0 on the road.

Luka Doncic points + rebounds — OVER 43.5 (-110)

You can't go wrong with this prop, as Doncic has been crushing it as a scorer and rebounder all season and he seems to be turning up the effort on the glass even more in the postseason.

Luka averaged 34 points per game against the Clippers this regular season, he poured in 33 points and grabbed 13 boards in Game 1, and he should be as hungry as ever for a big victory tonight. This is not only one of our favorite props of the night — it's one of our overall best bets.

MORE: Luka among Steph Noh's All-NBA picks

Luka Doncic triple-double (+275)

It's a bit more volatile than the previous two props, but we still love the value we're getting here. Luka does it all — that's why he averaged 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds per game this season. He has triple-doubles in 11 of his past 21 games, and he's come one rebound away a couple times in that stretch.

Doncic scored 33 points and grabbed 13 rebounds in Game 1, and he finished with six assists in large part because his teammates were taken aback by the Clippers' physicality. Dallas scored eight points in the second quarter! But many of the Mavs brushed off the cobwebs in the second half, and Dallas outscored L.A. by 14 in the second half.

Luka Doncic rebounds — OVER 9.5 (-115)

Another piece-of-cake prop. Doncic crashes the boards as well as any guard in the West, as evidenced by his 13 boards last time out. He has hit double-digits in rebounds in 16 of his past 21 games, and he's finished with nine boards five more times during that span. With how much playing time we expect Jason Kidd to give Luka tonight, he might hit this mark by the start of the fourth quarter.

Luka Doncic three-pointers — OVER 4.5 (-125)

This one goes perfectly with the scoring OVER, as we expect Luka to be firing from deep all night. He took 12 three-pointers in Game 1 and hit four of them, and he really started to hit his groove and find confidence in the second half. We like him to carry over that momentum into Game 2 and hit five-plus treys for the fifth time in eight games.

Luka Doncic blocks — UNDER 0.5 (-175)

Here's one we don't love, but we had to throw at least one UNDER on here. Luka has zero blocks in two straight games and 11 of his past 15. He doesn't focus on trying to swat shots in large part because so much of his energy is saved for the offensive side of the floor, not to mention he doesn't want to get into foul trouble and leave Kyrie Irving left with too much of the playmaking and shot-making load on his shoulders. The juice dilutes the value here, but we're going UNDER on Luka's block total nine times out of 10.