AccuScore's NBA pick of the day – Grizzlies at Suns

Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore

AccuScore's NBA pick of the day – Grizzlies at Suns image

The Suns look to stay afloat in the Western Conference playoff race as they host the Grizzlies Monday night (9:05 p.m. ET). Keep an eye on the Suns' turnovers, as Phoenix is just 1-5 this season when committing 20-plus turnovers.

Line: Grizzlies -2.5, Total 204.5 (check The Linemakers on Sporting News' odds page for current NBA spreads and totals ).

AccuScore has the Suns as 60.3 percent favorites to win, a forecast that translates into money-line odds of about -150.   The +135 price on Phoenix at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook offers plenty of value.

The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 102-100, and there’s a 54.4 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 205.  Should the total get back to that number, the UNDER is a three-star (out of three) AccuScore hot trend.  AccuScore's best bet, though, is on the side.

AccuScore best bet: There's about a 67 percent chance Phoenix covers a +2.5 spread, a three-star AccuScore hot trend. In the past week, AccuScore is 31-22 when predicting NBA games by the point spread (58.5 percent, +680 units).

AccuScore simulated box score: Phoenix makes about twice as many three-pointers in simulations than does Memphis.

Projected Leaders
Zach Randolph: 17 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 3 TOs
Eric Bledsoe: 17 points, 6 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 block, 3 TOs

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Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore