AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the basketball season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread, it’s a recommended play.
Despite a slow start, the Cavaliers have turned things around, winning eight straight games to find themselves atop the NBA’s Central Division. They head to Oklahoma City to face a finally-healthy Thunder roster ready to get back in the hunt for a title.
All eyes will be on the league's two best players, LeBron James and Kevin Durant.
OKC is a 2.5-point favorite at multiple Las Vegas sports books, with a total of 204. Check updated point spreads and totals on our live odds board.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is OKC 101, Cleveland 97. There is a 60.2 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 203.5.
There is a 56.4 percent chance OKC covers at -2.5. Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last six games at home.
AccuScore gives the Thunder a 63.5 percent chance to win the game outright, which translates to money-line odds of -173. Sports books are dealing a -140 money-line on OKC, which is also an attractive proposition.
Keep an eye out: What stands out the most in the simulated box score is the advantage OKC has defensively. They average about four more blocks than does Cleveland and about two more steals.
Projected Leaders:
LeBron James: 23 points, 7 assists, 6 rebounds, 3 TOs
Kevin Durant: 23 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 block, 3 TOs
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