AccuScore’s NBA pick of the day – Cavaliers at Kings

Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore

AccuScore’s NBA pick of the day – Cavaliers at Kings image

The Cavaliers look to avoid their fifth-consecutive loss as they head to Sacramento to face the Kings on Sunday night (9 p.m. ET, NBA TV).  With LeBron James missing his eighth straight game, the Cavaliers are on the verge of once again dropping back down to .500. 

AccuScore  has the Kings as 67.3 percent favorites to win, a prediction that translates into money-line odds of -205.   MGM Resorts offers Sacramento at -160, and while the price looks like a bargain based on AccuScore’s projections, some bettors are averse to laying a number this big.

Live odds: Current NBA point spreads and totals

With an average score after 10,000-plus simulations of 106-101, there's a 52.3 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 205.5, a 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The total has gone OVER in eight of Sacramento's last 11 games.

AccuScore Best Bet: There's nearly a 57 percent chance the Kings cover a 3-point spread as favorites, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. 

While Sacramento is a fairly solid favorite by AccuScore, keep an eye on Cleveland's ability to get second-chance opportunities. In simulations, the Cavs averaged about six more offensive rebounds than the Kings. 

Projected Leaders
Kevin Love: 24 points, 12 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, 2 TOs
DeMarcus Cousins: 21 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 steals, 3 TOs

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Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore